MLB Baseball Picks for August 4th 2011: Wager On The Pirates And Phillies

August 4, 2011 By

MLB Baseball Picks: August 4th 2011
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Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates -142
The Cubs have packed in the lost season, particularly on the road, where they have been awful. Going with Rodrigo Lopez for this game is not a plus, with a 5.29 ERA his last three starts. Chicago has terrible defense in the field behind him. The Cubs are 7-15 in their last 22 road games vs. a right-handed starter and 9-23 in their last 32 road games. Pittsburgh righty James McDonald has been throwing well, with a 2.70 ERA his last three starts and a 2-1 record. And the Pirates are 6-0 in McDonald’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Play the Pirates! -Jim Feist

Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -134
The Phillies are looking for some revenge here after losing 2 of 3 to the Giants at home last week. They’ve rattled off 6 straight wins since that series, and I expect them to make it 7 in a row tonight. The Phillies have the edge on the mound with Lee. They are 7-1 in his last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record and 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. Lee threw a lot of pitchers in his last start but that is no cause for concern. In fact, the Phillies are 6-0 in his last 6 starts after throwing more than 120 pitches in his last appearance. The Giants have lost 5 of 6 since they last faced Philly, and they are 0-4 in their last 4 series openers. Bumgarner is a good young pitcher, but he’s no Lee. The Giants have lost 12 of his 22 starts this season, and they are only 3-7 in his last 10 series-opening starts. Take the Phillies. -Jimmy Boyd (Handicapperspicks.com)

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MLB Picks for July 30th 2011: Bet The Pirates, Mets And Angels Today

July 30, 2011 By

MLB Picks: July 30th 2011
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Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 +104
The Pirates are showing value at +104 with 1.5 insurance runs to work with. Lee is struggling. The Phillies have lost 3 of his last 4 starts, and he’s been absolutely shelled in two of those outings. He gave up 5 earned on 10 hits in a 5-4 loss to a light-hitting San Diego club his last time out. McDonald, meanwhile, is sizzling. The Bucs have won each of his last 4 starts and seven of his last 8, and he hasn’t allowed more than 3 earned in any of those starts. He hasn’t allowed a single earned run in back-to-back wins over Cincy and Atlanta. We’ll take the Pirates on the run line. -Jeff Alexander

Pick: New York Mets -105
The Mets and Nats are heading in different directions, and we’ll take the one on the upswing at a nice price. The Mets have won 5 in a row while the Nationals have dropped 6 straight. Also, the Mets are 6-1 in Dickey’s last 7 starts while the Nationals are 1-4 in Marquis’ last 5 starts. The Mets have won 5 of their last 6 overall against the Nats and 5 of their last 6 in Washington. Bet the Mets. -Dave Price

Pick: Los Angeles Angels -140
A bit of a discount here with the Angels on the road and the Tigers winning by 10 runs last night, but I’ll take Dan Haren over Duane Below at this price all year. Haren has struggled a little in his last 3 starts, but he’s still 10-6 on the year with a 3.01 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. He’s opposed by untested Duane Below, who has just two starts and a 4.65 ERA for his season. I’ll take LA. -Steve Janus (Handicapperspicks.com)

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MLB Picks for July 27th 2011: 3 Baseball Picks To Consider Wagering On

July 27, 2011 By

MLB Picks: July 27th 2011
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Pick: Pirates vs. Braves Under 7
We look for a pitcher’s duel tonight between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Atlanta Braves. Clearly, both teams are tired after last night’s 19-inning marathon. That gives the edge to the starting pitchers in this one as the positional players will have a hard time focusing at the plate. Plus, we have two excellent starters going at it tonight. Jair Jurrjens is 12-3 with a 2.44 ERA in 18 starts for Atlanta, while Paul Maholm is 6-10 with a 3.26 ERA in 21 starts for Pittsburgh. The UNDER is 14-6-1 in Maholm’s 21 starts this year. These two have also been dominant when facing their respective opponents. Jurrjens is 2-3 with a 2.35 ERA in five lifetime starts (Under 4-1) versus Pittsburgh, while Maholm is 1-1 with a 1.64 ERA in five lifetime starts (Under 5-0) versus Atlanta. Take the UNDER 7 runs in this one. -Black Widow

Pick: Mets vs. Reds Over 9.5
The Mets Bobby Pelfrey hasn’t been missing many bats with his 5.29 ERA over his last three starts. The NYM is 15-4 to the high in L19 as a RD of 25-50 cents. Bronson Arroyo is 1-2 with a 7.36 ERA over his L5 starts and the Reds 12-5 to the over as HFs at this price. Play the over and don’t blink. -Dennis Macklin

Pick: Cincinnati Reds -138
Play on Cincinnati at 7:10 ET. After losing 2 straight here at home to the Mets, look for the Reds to win tonight. They are 31-21 off a loss this season and 32-19 off BB losses the L2 seasons. The Mets are 13-33 in road games when off back to back wins by 2 runs or less. NY starter Pelfrey has a 3-9 TSR as an underdog this year. Cincinnati starter Arroyo has a 7-3 TSR if the team lost its last game. 10* on Cincinnati. -Tom Freese (Handicapperspicks.com)

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MLB Baseball Picks for July 16th 2011: Wager On The Cardinals And Giants Today

July 16, 2011 By

MLB Baseball Picks: July 16th 2011
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MLB Pick: St. Louis Cardinals -120
Cardinals -116 (1.5* FREE PLAY) We back Carpenter on our last two 5.5* max plays and he sure paid off in a big way and we will look to back him here once again. Take out his poor start last time here in Cincinnati and he has dominated the Reds. Reds hitters collectively have a .218 average and a .615 OPS. Don’t think Carpenter who is hot right now with a 1.96 ERA over his last 3 starts does not remember his last trip to Cinci where he gave up 7 ER. He’s 8-2 in his last 10 vs. the Reds with every other start he’s given up 2 ER or less. I expect the same out of him on Saturday. After all he pitches big within the division the Cardinals are 60-29 vs. NL Central in his last 89 starts. Reds are just 4-10 in their last 14 vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.30. Bronson Arroyo makes the start for the Reds and he is clearly at a disadvantage going up against the Cardinals. In his last 5 starts he has given up 22 ER over 27.2 IP while giving up 34 hits and 12 walks that’s a WHIP of 1.66 and an ERA of 7.16. Cardinal hitters are hitting .276 with a .820 OPS in 322 AB vs. Arroyo. Arroyo really has not been solid at home posting a 3-6 record and 5.34 ERA. He is just 6-15 in his last 21 Saturday’s so either he just has bad luck on Saturday’s or he is out partying on Fridays. Either way the Cardinals are a better team vs. RHP. Ranked #4 in OPS with a .765 vs. the Reds who are 19th with a .709. -Freddy Wills

MLB Pick: Pirates vs. Astros Under 7.5
Here we have two of the lower scoring teams in Major League Baseball squaring off against one of each team’s more effective pitchers. I’ll play the total under as this game should be a pitchers duel from the start. The only thing keeping this pick from being a premium one is the fact that Houston’s bullpen has been so awful this year (10 saves vs 17 blown saves), but Pittsburgh’s offense still has me leaning hard on this total. Offensively both teams are averaging just 3.9 runs per game. Then take into account that Houston starter Bud Norris has pitched extremely well at home this year. Through 11 starts at home he’s posted a 2.66 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh’s Paul Maholm has been one of their most effective pitchers this season. He’s started 19 games for the Pirates, earning a 2.96 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in those starts. Now, he hasn’t thrown great on the road (4.35 ERA, 1.28 WHIP), but the fact that his WHIP isn’t too much higher than his season number tells me he’s had some bad luck as the visiting starter. Maholm has also pitched like an ace over his last 3 outings, posting a 1.74 ERA, which includes a game vs the Astros in which he gave up just one earned runs on 5 hits over 6 innings of work. -Jimmy Boyd

MLB Pick: San Francisco Giants +120
Last season, the roles between the Padres and Giants were reversed. MLB fans watched as the Giants climbed the NL West standings to take the division and knock the Padres out of the playoff race. This season, the standings tell a much different story. The defending World Series champion Giants lead the NL West and the Padres are dwelling in the cellar. Judging by the scores the Padres have been putting up as of late, it is doubtful that we will see them play the role of spoiler. Plus with the Giants closer’s confidence back, they could now try and defend their NL West title. As for the Padres Saturday they’ll send Dustin Moseley to the mound in the hopes that Moseley can get back on the winning track. Moseley is 2-8 on the season with a 3.21 ERA. He is 1-4 in his last 10 starts and usually starts falling apart around the fifth inning. The Giants counter with Zeto. It’s tempting to entertain the thought that Zito has recaptured that 2002 form. After a pair of trips to the disabled list, he returned in early July with a pair of solid starts that brought his season totals to a 3-1 record, 3.18 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, and 17/12 K/BB ratio through 34 innings. The Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 road games with the total set at 6.5 or lower, and are 5-1 in their last 6 overall, and are 4-0 in Zitos last 4 starts. I just don’t think the Padres have the punch to keep up in this game. -Ray Monohan (Handicapperspicks.com)

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Pirates, Rays And Indians Are Your Free MLB Picks for July 10th 2011

July 10, 2011 By

MLB Picks: July 10th 2011
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Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates -128
Pittsburgh is the surprise team in baseball this season, and continue to show great value on the money line. The Pirates loss 3-6 to the Cubs on Saturday, but that sets up multiple systems to lay big money on Pittsburgh on Sunday. The Pirates are 6-0 in their last 6 games following a loss, while the Cubs are 28-62 in their last 90 games following a win. Chicago is also just 17-35 in their last 52 during game 3 of a series, and only 20-42 in their last 62 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Pittsburgh is a solid 10-3 in their last 13 vs. National League Central, 7-3 in their last 10 home games, and 22-15 when Paul Maholm starts against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. Take the Cubs. -Jimmy Boyd

Pick: Tampa Bay Rays +154
Let down game for NYY as Jeter gets 3k hits yesterday plus many are looking for All star game and or time off. TB have been so good against NYY over L3 years. Shields has been under radar and even against CC he should be give much better odds respect. Will take the extra juice as this Underdog wins taking us into break, 4 star play -Craig Trapp

Pick: Cleveland Indians -125
Play on Cleveland at 1:05 ET. After taking the first game of this series in walk-off fashion, the Indians have lost two straight. However, no worries considering Toronto’s Brett Cecil has an 0-8 TSR off BB team wins. He’s also 0-3 his last 3 starts with a 6.52 ERA. Cleveland is 19-7 as a favorite this season and 27-17 at home. 10* on Cleveland. -Tom Freese (Handicapperspicks.com)

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