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MLB Betting: The Best And Worst Teams To Wager On The Run-Line: July 30th 2010

July 30th, 2010
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Baseball in the month of August is nearly here, and BetUS Sportsbook takes some time out to look at the best run-line teams that the game has to offer. Check out who the top run-line teams are with our MLB picks!
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1: Toronto Blue Jays (63-39, +$2,412) – Thanks to a five game winning streak on the run line, the Blue Jays have stormed to the top of this MLB betting list for the season in surprising fashion. Though it is fairly clear that the boys from the Great White North aren’t going to be in the hunt for October this year, they should be proud of their 53-49 record through their first 102 games of the season, especially in the rough and tumble AL East. Look for the top slugging offense in baseball at 155 homers for the season to tail off just a bit as the season declines, but as long as wins keep coming by multiple runs or as underdogs, the Jays are a money team against the run-line.

2: New York Mets (60-42, +$2,133) – The face of the Mets might be changing quite a bit between now and tomorrow’s trade deadline. There is still a question as to whether this team is going to be buying or selling. An offense that is averaging just 4.29 runs per game is frightening to bet on, but in run-line instances, perhaps not so much. It still seems as though the oddsmakers are undervaluing the Metropolitans just a bit on the season, and as a result, plenty of one run losses are turning into run-line victories as short underdogs.

3: San Diego Padres (57-43, +$1,427) – How much longer can the Padres possibly sit atop the NL West standings? Through 100 games, they are 20 games above .500 and are well on their way towards having the best record in the National League. Though the team is only 9-6 since the last time we reviewed our “Run-Line Champs,” it has picked up almost five full units thanks to the fact that it is cashing in on several home victories with big run-line numbers because of short ‘totals’.

4: New York Yankees (56-45, +$1,403) – The consummate run-line team, it should be no surprise that the Yankees are on this list as well considering the fact that they are the fourth best money team in baseball through their first 101 games of the year. There is a big series in Tampa Bay this weekend that will help determine the winner of the AL East, though there is clearly still plenty of baseball to be played. Still, with an offense like this that is averaging an MLB best 5.45 runs per game, it’s hard to not back the Bronx Bombers.

5: Cincinnati Reds (57-46, +$1,117) – The Reds remarkably have the exact same record both SU and against the run-line, and their total earnings for the year are within a unit and a half of each other. They have stormed back to the forefront in the NL Central and are going to be in the scrum for those last few playoff positions in the tightly packed National League. If they make a big move at the deadline though, the oddsmakers might catch on and adjust these lines too far to bet.

Just because a team is fantastic against the MLB betting moneylines doesn’t make it an awful squad against the run-lines. Here at BetUS Sportsbook, we’re keeping you in the know for how to beat the less popular lines to bet baseball on. See who joins the woeful Orioles on this MLB betting list!
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1: Baltimore Orioles (43-59, -$2,567) – When the Orioles swept that four game series with the Texas Rangers right before the All-Star Break, they might have done a bunch of good for their moneyline bettors, but their run-line bettors didn’t feel the full effect of being such hefty pups. This has easily been the worst MLB betting team all season long on run-lines, and even though manager Buck Showalter just took over the reins, we don’t think anything is changing this year.

2: Arizona Diamondbacks (46-56, -$2,048) – Talk about a dysfunctional franchise! Earlier this year, the surprising dismissals of both GM Josh Byrnes and manager AJ Hinch caused a ton of issues in the Arizona organization. Now, it traded the face of the team, RHP Dan Haren to the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim for LHP Joe Saunders and a couple prospects that will probably never be heard from again. Yikes! This certainly isn’t going to help matters any for a team that has struggled all season long just staying in games, let alone winning them.

3: Milwaukee Brewers (45-58, -$1,695) – There aren’t many teams in baseball that can say they’ve won fewer games against the run-lines than the Brewers can. Playing such miserable ball at home at the outset of the season really set this team back quite a bit, and now it is in a hole that it simply won’t work out of this year. With trade rumors swirling about all of the best sticks on this team, who knows what it’ll look like by the time Saturday’s wheeling and dealing is over with. Until that point, the Brew Crew are a no-no for MLB betting fans.

4: Seattle Mariners (48-55, -$1,372) – The worst money team in baseball makes its appearance as the fourth worst run-line team in the bigs at almost 14 units deficient this year. The M’s have played lackluster ball since trading away LHP Cliff Lee, and the end result might just be another season on the verge of 100 losses. The water has clearly been poisoned in the great northwest, and until someone gets the Mariners the panacea, they can’t be trusted in any situation.

5: Pittsburgh Pirates (51-50, -$1,156) – Only the Pirates could figure out how to be above .500 against the run-line and still be losing money on the season. Why is this? The oddsmakers are clearly putting too much stock in their abilities to stick within one run in games, and though they’re doing it more often than not, it isn’t often enough to beat a line of -140 or -150. The Bucs are surely not going to do anything to better themselves before the July 31st trade deadline, so this is what MLB betting aficionados are going to have to deal with all season long.

Source: BetUS Locker Room Featured on: Handicapperspicks.com

MLB Baseball Alternate Run Line Betting

July 21st, 2010
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To bet on pro baseball requires tons of number crunching, a crucial understanding of the game, and the ability to endure a very long season with its ups and its downs. If betting on just moneylines and traditional run lines doesn’t seem to be offering the most bang for your buck, you could venture into the relatively unchartered waters of alternate run line betting to give your bankroll a major boost. While it’s risky to say the least, the rewards are more than worth it!
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A traditional run line bet allows MLB bettors to either reduce the juice on a favorite or pay extra for that half run with the underdog. For example, your average -200 favorite is normally reduced to a price of -1.5 (-110) on the run line. For you to cash this run line ticket, the favorite backed must win by at least two runs. If you backed the dog at say +1.5 (+120) in that scenario, and it won, or lost by just one run, you would also cash that ticket.

Now, that’s a very conservative way to go about run line betting. If you’re in search for a bigger taste of glory, then alternate run line betting is for you!

Let’s go back to that original -200 favorite. BetUS actually has two alternate run lines for you to choose from! Using the second alternate run line and betting on large favorites, you have the option of laying 2.5-runs at a nice return. You’ll often find a -200 favorite at -2 (+190) to +220 in alternate run line betting. What this does is turn the heavy favorite into an underdog. Provided it takes care of business as expected, you cash big.

For you to cash this ticket, the heavy favorite that is now dogged must win by three runs. So, instead of just laying -200 on the moneyline or -110 on a -1.5 run line bet and collecting your $100, you could reap the rewards and collect anywhere from $190 to $220 provided the triumph is by three runs or more.

This type of alternate run line betting can be used whenever a team you feel has the overwhelming advantage when matched up against a team littered with injuries, has played numerous games in a row, or had its bullpen roasted the previous game with a poor starting pitcher going the next day.

Another type of alternate run line betting deals with flipping the actual run line around. Say for example you believe a +145 underdog has the advantage over the designated favorite in a selected game. Instead of taking the pup on the traditional money or run line, you can reverse it on the alternate run line and turn the MLB underdog into the favorite.

The aforementioned underdog of that size would in turn have a return of +210 at -1.5. So, if you grab a piece of the underdog on the traditional moneyline for $100, and also throw down $50 on the alternate run line, you would come away with a $250 return on a $150 investment provided the underdog wins by two or more runs.

This form of alternate run line betting is best used when dealing with teams grossly overlooked by oddsmakers in the match-up. The San Diego Padres have been fantastic alternate run line wagers on the road this season, while any team that’s gone into Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles has also been great alternate run line bets.

Source: BetUS Locker Room Featured on: Handicapperspicks.com

MLB Baseball Betting: Worst Teams To Bet On The Run-Line: May 29th 2010

May 29th, 2010
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Just because a team is fantastic against the MLB betting moneylines doesn’t make it an awful squad against the run-lines. Here at BetUS Sportsbook, we’re keeping you in the know for how to beat the less popular lines to bet baseball on. See who joins the woeful Brewers on this MLB betting list!
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1: Milwaukee Brewers (18-29, -$1,404) – If the Brewers don’t start to get some pitching together, they’re not going to be beating moneylines, run-lines, alternate lines, or any other lines aside from the maybe the unemployment lines! Milwaukee’s problem with beating any of the lines has to do with the fact that its pitching staff is just prone to giving up the big inning seemingly every night. It’s nearly impossible to come back from a 4+ run inning to cover anything in MLB betting action.

2: Chicago White Sox (17-30, -$1,356) – If you thought that manager Ozzie Guillen was unhappy with umpire Joe West after a balk call against his LHP Mark Buehrle a few days ago, he certainly won’t like the fact that no team in the majors has a worse record against the run-line than his club. The Pale Hose have come out on the wrong end of the run-line in four straight one run games, which isn’t going to help matters any for a team that only has eight wins by more than one run all month long.

3: Houston Astros (20-27, -$1,339) – What this is telling us is that the Astros are underdogs quite a bit. Teams that are only seven games under .500 on the run-line shouldn’t be out over 13 units worth of coin on the season. The ‘Stros did lose a one run game and cash on the run-line last night in Milwaukee, but that’s something that has only happened six times all season long. Just like so many other bad teams in baseball, it’s hard to make headway on the run-line when you can’t lose games by just one run. The oddsmakers have really yet to react.

4: Cleveland Indians (20-25, -$1,112) – This is the exact same situation that Houston is in. The Tribe have only picked up victories on the run-line in four games for the entire season in which they lost, the lowest amount for any team in baseball that is regularly an underdog. (Meaning teams like the Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees that are favorites nearly every night don’t count in this statistic, as they have combined for zero wins against the run-line in games that they have been underdogs in). Until Cleveland starts winning games, winning run-lines is going to prove to be just as difficult.

5: Texas Rangers (18-29, -$938) – Now here’s an odd team to throw in this mix. The Rangers are +$136 on the season on the moneyline and they play in a ballpark that is historically known for having a smaller amount of one run games than most. Texas doesn’t quite have the offense this year that it normally does, and the oddsmakers have caught on to the fact that this is probably the best team in the AL West. As a result, a few extra one run games have gone a long way in crippling run-line bettors for the Rangers.
Source: BetUS Locker Room Featured on: Handicapperspicks.com