NBA Picks: March 21st 2011
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Pick: Warriors vs. Spurs Under 210
On Monday the Free NBA Totals system play is on the under in the Golden State at San Antonio Sours game. Rotation numbers 611/612 at 8:30 eastern. This game fits a 90% system that dates to 1995 and is illustrated below for your viewing pleasure. What we want to do in this game is play the under for rested home favorites that scored 100 or more in their last game if they were favored by 10 or more points and are now taking on an opponent that scored 80 or less as a road dog of 5 or more in their last game. If the posted total is 190 or higher these games have gone under the total 9 of 10 times with 2 games landing on the number for a push. The Warriors have to take on the Spurs one night after getting pasted by the Dallas Mavericks. We note that the Warriors are have gone under in 10 of 13 games off 3 or more losses, 5 of 7 times as a road dog from +9.5 to +12 and 10 of 14 times in the second of back to back nights. The Spurs have played under in 6 of 7 games this season when the posted total is 210 or higher. Look for this one to play under the total here tonight. On Monday I have a Rare NBA Totals system that beats the Line by over 20 points. I also have the highest rated NIT Play going tonight from a scintillating 100% Power Angle. Unit rated College Tournament plays are cashing over 80% the last week. Jump on and start the week big. Tonight sports talk radio show segment on 88.9 wsia.fm will be moved to 8:30 eastern and I will have a free play in one of the upcoming sweet 16 Tournament games later this week. For the free play take the under in the Golden State at San Antonio game. -Rob Vinciletti

Pick: New York Knicks +2
Boston has dropped 3 of its last 4 on the road, and it will have its work cut out for itself against a Knicks team motivated by back-to-back defeats. With each of the last 3, and 5 of the last 6, meetings being decided by 4 points or less, I won’t hesitate to grab the points here. In addition, plays on home teams when the line is +3 to -3 off 2 or more consecutive road losses, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team, are 56-26 ATS since 1996. Teams fitting into this situation have won by an average of 4.1 points. Also, New York has been exceptional in the underdog role. The Knicks are 24-8-2 ATS in their last 34 games as an underdog and 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. Since the Knicks just played Sunday, it is also worth noting that they are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games when playing without a day of rest. It must also be mentioned that Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games as a road favorite. The home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. The Celtics are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in New York. Take the Knicks. -Jimmy Boyd

Pick: Memphis Grizzlies -8
The Grizzlies have dominated their last two home games against bad teams, beating the Clippers by 23 and the Pacer by 21. The Jazz have looked ugly in a number of road games of late, and we look for them to come out flat against the Grizzles, as they had to play a tough high-scoring game against the Rockets yesterday. Memphis plays like an elite team on their home court. They are 24-10 SU and 21-12 ATS, including a 7-2 run over their last nine games at home as a favorite. Utah is just 7-20 ATS in their last 27 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game, and are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest. -Info Plays (Handicapperspicks.com)