MLB Picks: September 7th 2011
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Pick: Atlanta Braves +122
Off back-to-back losses, I like the Atlanta Braves to bounce back in a big way Wednesday against the NL East-leading Philadelphia Phillies. Atlanta has not lost three straight games since 7/31-8/2, so this has been a very resilient bunch. The Braves have the edge on the mound tonight with Brandon Beachy over Roy Oswalt. Beachy is 7-2 with a 3.37 ERA and 1.155 WHIP in 21 starts this season, striking out a whopping 135 batters in 120 1/3 innings. Oswalt has been the weak link on Philly’s staff in 2011. The veteran righty is 7-8 with a 3.80 ERA and 1.409 WHIP in 19 starts, striking out only 69 batters in 104 1/3 innings. He just hasn’t been quite right all season as he deals with various injuries. Oswalt is 3-3 with a 4.70 ERA and 1.451 WHIP in 12 career starts against Atlanta. Atlanta is 19-5 after 2 or more consecutive losses this season. The Braves are a very profitable 15-8 as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season. The Braves are a perfect 8-0 in their last 8 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. The Phillies are 0-6 in Oswalt’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Bet Atlanta Wednesday. -Jack Jones

Pick: San Francisco Giants -138
On Wednesday The Free MLB System play is on the SF. Giants. Game 951 at 6:35 eastern. The Giants fit a nice system here tonight that plays on road favorites with a total of 8 or less off a road favored win by 2 or more runs with a total that was 8 or less, if they scored 5+ runs and had 10+ hits and 5+ men left on base, vs an opponent off a home dog loss of 2 or more scored 4 or less runs with 5+ men left on base and no more than 1 error. This long winded system has cashed 16 of 19 times. The Giants have won 15 of 21 on Wednesday their best day of the week. The Padres have lost 4 of 5 as a home dog in this range and are hitting just .217 the past week. They have lost 17 of 24 in the second half vs Winning teams. The Giants have won 6 of 8 here this season and have M. Cain on the mound. Cain has a superb 2.81 road era which trumps the 3.79 home era of Pare starter A. Harang. Look for the Giants to get the win. On Wednesday the 3 game power Pack will get you over the hump led by the NL Total of the Month from a 100% Totals system + 14-1, and 16-2 system plays. All games are evening plays. Tuesday bases swept the board. Jump on and be on the giving end of Hump day. For the free play take the Giants. -Rob Vinciletti

Pick: Chicago White Sox -128
The Twins are pure fade material right now as they have more or less packed it in. They are just 16-36 in their last 52 overall and 6-22 in their last 28 home games. The White Sox, meanwhile, are 14-6 in their last 20 road games, and they have especially been dangerous in the road chalk. The Sox are 10-1 in their last 11 games as a road favorite and 9-0 in their last 9 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150. Chicago is 8-1 in Danks’ last 9 starts as a favorite and 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Twins, meanwhile, are 0-4 in Pavano’s last 4 home starts and 1-6 in his last 7 starts as a home underdog. The White Sox are 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in this series and 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Minnesota. Take the South Siders. -Jimmy Boyd (Handicapperspicks.com)

MLB Picks: August 25th 2011
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Pick: San Francisco Giants -1.5 -104
The Giants don’t score a lot of runs, but they are still showing value on the run line with Vogelsong on the hill. He’s 6-2 (8-3 on the ML) with an ERA of 1.90 at home this season. His last 4 home wins have all come by at least 2 runs. Henry Sosa has made 3 starts for the Astros. He’s 0-2 (0-3 on the ML) with an ERA of 6.35 in those outings. Houston has lost 2 of the 3 by 2 runs or more. The Giants have won 5 of their last 6 at home against the Astros, and those wins have come by an average score of 6.0 to 2.0. It’s also worth noting that Houston is 1-15 in road games in the 2nd half of the season this season vs. NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game. It is losing to these clubs by an average of 2.7 runs. Take the Giants on the run line. Dont’ miss out on Jimmy Boyd’s premium MLB baseball betting picks today at Handicapperspicks.com

Pick: St. Louis Cardinals -165
Play on St. Louis at 8:15 ET. Even though they beat Milwaukee 2-0 yesterday, the Pirates are still struggling. They are 3-15 following a game where only two combined runs or less were scored. They’ve lost 19 of 26 games and going back to last year have some terrible road numbers. They are 28-67 in road night games and are just 36-96 as a road underdog of +150 or more. They are 5-10 L15 games at St. Louis and the Cardinals are going to be an angry bunch after getting swept by the Dodgers. Edwin Jackson has a 2.72 ERA at home this season. Pirates starter Charlie Morton has a 6-20 TSR as an underdog of +100 to +150. 10* on St. Louis. -Tom Freese (Handicapperspicks.com)

MLB Baseball Betting Picks: August 24th 2011
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Pick: Boston Red Sox -109
Boston exploded for 11 runs to beat Texas yesterday, and I like its bats to come up big again in this one. The Red Sox, who are batting .279 and scoring 5.2 runs/game off lefty starters this season, will gladly welcome lefty Matt Harrison to the hill. Harrison has a 5.82 ERA in 3 starts against the Red Sox, who are 25-8 in their last 33 games vs. a left-handed starter. Look for Boston to stay hot at the plate and for Beckett to take care of the rest. Bet Bean Town. -Jeff Alexander

Pick: Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 +112
I really like the Blue Jays to bounce back with a big win against the Royals on Wednesday, especially after watching their ace get lit up on Tuesday. Toronto is a respectable 9-3 in their L12 games following a loss and 20-7 in their last 27 games as a favorite of -151 to -200. The Blue Jays will send out Ricky Romero to take the mound against Luke Hochevar of the Royals. Romero is 6-3 with 2.81 ERA at home this season and 3-0 with a 1.12 ERA and 0.542 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Hochevar is just 2-5 with a 4.87 ERA on the road and 0-2 with a 4.74 ERA in his last three starts. Romero is 10-0 vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Winning by an average score of Romero 5.9, Opponent 1.9! BET THE BLUE JAYS! -Steve Janus

Pick: San Francisco Giants -1.5 +134
The Giants have won 10 of Lincecum’s last 14 starts against the Padres, and the last six wins have all come by 2 runs or more. Lincecum has been pitching like the 2-time Cy Young winner he is for over 2 months now. He hasn’t allowed more than 3 earned runs in a game in 12 straight starts. He has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in 11 of those starts. San Diego’s Stauffer hasn’t been nearly as good on the road. He’s been rocked in his last 3 road starts (all losses), giving up 18 runs in 15 2-3 innings of work. Take the defending champs on the run line. -Dave Price (Handicapperspicks.com)

MLB Picks: August 17th 2011
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Pick: Chicago White Sox -150
The Chicago White Sox are one of the hottest teams in baseball right now. I’ll continue backing them Wednesday as they host the Cleveland Indians. Chicago has gone 9-2 in their last 11 games overall to get to 61-60 on the season, just 3.5 games back of Detroit and a half-game behind Cleveland in the AL Central. Now they send their hottest starter to the mound Wednesday looking to continue this roll. Mark Buehrle (10-5, 3.06 ERA) has allowed three runs or fewer in 18 straight starts, matching the club record set by Frank Smith in 1909. Since losing to Minnesota on June 16, Buehrle is 4-0 with a 2.02 ERA in nine starts with the White Sox winning eight times. Fausto Carmona (5-12, 5.12 ERA) has the majors’ third-worst ERA among qualifying pitchers and the White Sox have had a lot to do with that, touching him up for 18 runs in eight innings. The right-hander was pounded for a career-worst 10 runs in three innings on opening day, and was tagged for eight runs in five innings in an 8-2 loss at U.S. Cellular Field on May 19. Buehrle is a perfect 9-0 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. Bet the White Sox Wednesday. -Jack Jones

Pick: Florida Marlins +115
Florida is 31-18 last 3 years and 13-6 this year as a road underdog of +100 to +125. Colorado has lost 5 of their last 7 games. Florida has a winning record on the road going 33-26 so far this year. Florida bullpen has a 3.34 ERA in all games this year. Ricky Nolasco is 9-8 with a 3.72 ERA overall this year, 6-4 with a 3.66 ERA on the road this season and 2-1 with a super 1.66 ERA his last 3 starts. Aaron Cook is 2-7 with a 5.42 ERA overall this year, 0-4 with a 4.36 ERA at home this season and 0-2 with a 6.61 ERA his last 3 starts. Nolasco is 5-0 with a 2.13 ERA overall vs Colorado since 1997. We’ll recommend a small play on Florida tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky Atkinson

Pick: Giants vs. Braves Over 7
The Over is the play here as Atlanta has several hitters with solid career numbers versus the Giant’s Matt Cain. Cain has struggled with Bourn and Jones for the Braves, and McCann has 3 RBIs in only 12 ABs. Jair Jurrjens has struggled since the All Star break and is coming off a stint off the DL. I look for one of these pitchers to struggle early in the game and for this to be comfortably over the total by the 5th inning. The Over is 8-2 in the Giant’s last 10 games as a road underdog, 10-1-1 in the Braves’ last 12 home games versus a team with a losing road record, and 6-1 in Jurrjens last 7 starts versus the NL West. -Patrick Webb (Handicapperspicks.com)

MLB Baseball Predictions: July 18th 2011
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Prediction: Dodgers vs. Giants Under 6.5
Both pitchers is solid form. Both bullpens have unreal recent numbers. Last 3 games the Dodgers bullpen has a 1.96 ERA and the Giants a 1.21 ERA in their last 3 games. Vogelsong for the Giants has given up 38 hits in 51 innings of work at home on the YEAR and has just 1.21 ERA there. Unreal numbers. Billingsley for LA has under a 3 ERA on the road this year and he has been stellar in his last 3 outings. Add all this up, and considering the Giants are 24-9-1 on UNDERS intheir last 34 at home, and this is a 2-1 or 3-2 type ballgame tonight. Hits and runs will be at a Premium tonight in this one! -Tony George

Prediction: Washington Nationals -109
Play on Washington at 8:05 ET. It’s never too tough a decision to go against the Astros, who were 7-5 losers yesterday here at home to Pittsburgh. Houston is now 15-35 at home this season and 17-49 vs. righties. They are 8-31 at home when the total is 8 or 8.5. Nationals starter Jason Marquis has been a solid money maker this season with a 12-6 team start record with many of those wins in the underdog role. 10* Play on Washington (w/ Marquis). -Tom Freese

Prediction: Braves vs. Rockies Under 9.5
The Rockies are 0-14 Under after a loss in which they drew five or more walks and it is the first game of a series for a profit of +1400 when playing the under. Atlanta is 21-48 Under (+23.5 Units) after 3 consecutive games versus a division rival the last 2 seasons. Play tonight’s game Under as a TWO-Star Selection. -Robbie Gainous (Handicapperspicks.com)

MLB Baseball Picks: July 16th 2011
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MLB Pick: St. Louis Cardinals -120
Cardinals -116 (1.5* FREE PLAY) We back Carpenter on our last two 5.5* max plays and he sure paid off in a big way and we will look to back him here once again. Take out his poor start last time here in Cincinnati and he has dominated the Reds. Reds hitters collectively have a .218 average and a .615 OPS. Don’t think Carpenter who is hot right now with a 1.96 ERA over his last 3 starts does not remember his last trip to Cinci where he gave up 7 ER. He’s 8-2 in his last 10 vs. the Reds with every other start he’s given up 2 ER or less. I expect the same out of him on Saturday. After all he pitches big within the division the Cardinals are 60-29 vs. NL Central in his last 89 starts. Reds are just 4-10 in their last 14 vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.30. Bronson Arroyo makes the start for the Reds and he is clearly at a disadvantage going up against the Cardinals. In his last 5 starts he has given up 22 ER over 27.2 IP while giving up 34 hits and 12 walks that’s a WHIP of 1.66 and an ERA of 7.16. Cardinal hitters are hitting .276 with a .820 OPS in 322 AB vs. Arroyo. Arroyo really has not been solid at home posting a 3-6 record and 5.34 ERA. He is just 6-15 in his last 21 Saturday’s so either he just has bad luck on Saturday’s or he is out partying on Fridays. Either way the Cardinals are a better team vs. RHP. Ranked #4 in OPS with a .765 vs. the Reds who are 19th with a .709. -Freddy Wills

MLB Pick: Pirates vs. Astros Under 7.5
Here we have two of the lower scoring teams in Major League Baseball squaring off against one of each team’s more effective pitchers. I’ll play the total under as this game should be a pitchers duel from the start. The only thing keeping this pick from being a premium one is the fact that Houston’s bullpen has been so awful this year (10 saves vs 17 blown saves), but Pittsburgh’s offense still has me leaning hard on this total. Offensively both teams are averaging just 3.9 runs per game. Then take into account that Houston starter Bud Norris has pitched extremely well at home this year. Through 11 starts at home he’s posted a 2.66 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh’s Paul Maholm has been one of their most effective pitchers this season. He’s started 19 games for the Pirates, earning a 2.96 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in those starts. Now, he hasn’t thrown great on the road (4.35 ERA, 1.28 WHIP), but the fact that his WHIP isn’t too much higher than his season number tells me he’s had some bad luck as the visiting starter. Maholm has also pitched like an ace over his last 3 outings, posting a 1.74 ERA, which includes a game vs the Astros in which he gave up just one earned runs on 5 hits over 6 innings of work. -Jimmy Boyd

MLB Pick: San Francisco Giants +120
Last season, the roles between the Padres and Giants were reversed. MLB fans watched as the Giants climbed the NL West standings to take the division and knock the Padres out of the playoff race. This season, the standings tell a much different story. The defending World Series champion Giants lead the NL West and the Padres are dwelling in the cellar. Judging by the scores the Padres have been putting up as of late, it is doubtful that we will see them play the role of spoiler. Plus with the Giants closer’s confidence back, they could now try and defend their NL West title. As for the Padres Saturday they’ll send Dustin Moseley to the mound in the hopes that Moseley can get back on the winning track. Moseley is 2-8 on the season with a 3.21 ERA. He is 1-4 in his last 10 starts and usually starts falling apart around the fifth inning. The Giants counter with Zeto. It’s tempting to entertain the thought that Zito has recaptured that 2002 form. After a pair of trips to the disabled list, he returned in early July with a pair of solid starts that brought his season totals to a 3-1 record, 3.18 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, and 17/12 K/BB ratio through 34 innings. The Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 road games with the total set at 6.5 or lower, and are 5-1 in their last 6 overall, and are 4-0 in Zitos last 4 starts. I just don’t think the Padres have the punch to keep up in this game. -Ray Monohan (Handicapperspicks.com)