MLB Baseball Predictions for July 18th 2011: Bet The Dodgers And Giants To Go Under The Total

July 18, 2011 By

MLB Baseball Predictions: July 18th 2011
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Prediction: Dodgers vs. Giants Under 6.5
Both pitchers is solid form. Both bullpens have unreal recent numbers. Last 3 games the Dodgers bullpen has a 1.96 ERA and the Giants a 1.21 ERA in their last 3 games. Vogelsong for the Giants has given up 38 hits in 51 innings of work at home on the YEAR and has just 1.21 ERA there. Unreal numbers. Billingsley for LA has under a 3 ERA on the road this year and he has been stellar in his last 3 outings. Add all this up, and considering the Giants are 24-9-1 on UNDERS intheir last 34 at home, and this is a 2-1 or 3-2 type ballgame tonight. Hits and runs will be at a Premium tonight in this one! -Tony George

Prediction: Washington Nationals -109
Play on Washington at 8:05 ET. It’s never too tough a decision to go against the Astros, who were 7-5 losers yesterday here at home to Pittsburgh. Houston is now 15-35 at home this season and 17-49 vs. righties. They are 8-31 at home when the total is 8 or 8.5. Nationals starter Jason Marquis has been a solid money maker this season with a 12-6 team start record with many of those wins in the underdog role. 10* Play on Washington (w/ Marquis). -Tom Freese

Prediction: Braves vs. Rockies Under 9.5
The Rockies are 0-14 Under after a loss in which they drew five or more walks and it is the first game of a series for a profit of +1400 when playing the under. Atlanta is 21-48 Under (+23.5 Units) after 3 consecutive games versus a division rival the last 2 seasons. Play tonight’s game Under as a TWO-Star Selection. -Robbie Gainous (Handicapperspicks.com)

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MLB Baseball Picks for July 16th 2011: Wager On The Cardinals And Giants Today

July 16, 2011 By

MLB Baseball Picks: July 16th 2011
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MLB Pick: St. Louis Cardinals -120
Cardinals -116 (1.5* FREE PLAY) We back Carpenter on our last two 5.5* max plays and he sure paid off in a big way and we will look to back him here once again. Take out his poor start last time here in Cincinnati and he has dominated the Reds. Reds hitters collectively have a .218 average and a .615 OPS. Don’t think Carpenter who is hot right now with a 1.96 ERA over his last 3 starts does not remember his last trip to Cinci where he gave up 7 ER. He’s 8-2 in his last 10 vs. the Reds with every other start he’s given up 2 ER or less. I expect the same out of him on Saturday. After all he pitches big within the division the Cardinals are 60-29 vs. NL Central in his last 89 starts. Reds are just 4-10 in their last 14 vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.30. Bronson Arroyo makes the start for the Reds and he is clearly at a disadvantage going up against the Cardinals. In his last 5 starts he has given up 22 ER over 27.2 IP while giving up 34 hits and 12 walks that’s a WHIP of 1.66 and an ERA of 7.16. Cardinal hitters are hitting .276 with a .820 OPS in 322 AB vs. Arroyo. Arroyo really has not been solid at home posting a 3-6 record and 5.34 ERA. He is just 6-15 in his last 21 Saturday’s so either he just has bad luck on Saturday’s or he is out partying on Fridays. Either way the Cardinals are a better team vs. RHP. Ranked #4 in OPS with a .765 vs. the Reds who are 19th with a .709. -Freddy Wills

MLB Pick: Pirates vs. Astros Under 7.5
Here we have two of the lower scoring teams in Major League Baseball squaring off against one of each team’s more effective pitchers. I’ll play the total under as this game should be a pitchers duel from the start. The only thing keeping this pick from being a premium one is the fact that Houston’s bullpen has been so awful this year (10 saves vs 17 blown saves), but Pittsburgh’s offense still has me leaning hard on this total. Offensively both teams are averaging just 3.9 runs per game. Then take into account that Houston starter Bud Norris has pitched extremely well at home this year. Through 11 starts at home he’s posted a 2.66 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh’s Paul Maholm has been one of their most effective pitchers this season. He’s started 19 games for the Pirates, earning a 2.96 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in those starts. Now, he hasn’t thrown great on the road (4.35 ERA, 1.28 WHIP), but the fact that his WHIP isn’t too much higher than his season number tells me he’s had some bad luck as the visiting starter. Maholm has also pitched like an ace over his last 3 outings, posting a 1.74 ERA, which includes a game vs the Astros in which he gave up just one earned runs on 5 hits over 6 innings of work. -Jimmy Boyd

MLB Pick: San Francisco Giants +120
Last season, the roles between the Padres and Giants were reversed. MLB fans watched as the Giants climbed the NL West standings to take the division and knock the Padres out of the playoff race. This season, the standings tell a much different story. The defending World Series champion Giants lead the NL West and the Padres are dwelling in the cellar. Judging by the scores the Padres have been putting up as of late, it is doubtful that we will see them play the role of spoiler. Plus with the Giants closer’s confidence back, they could now try and defend their NL West title. As for the Padres Saturday they’ll send Dustin Moseley to the mound in the hopes that Moseley can get back on the winning track. Moseley is 2-8 on the season with a 3.21 ERA. He is 1-4 in his last 10 starts and usually starts falling apart around the fifth inning. The Giants counter with Zeto. It’s tempting to entertain the thought that Zito has recaptured that 2002 form. After a pair of trips to the disabled list, he returned in early July with a pair of solid starts that brought his season totals to a 3-1 record, 3.18 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, and 17/12 K/BB ratio through 34 innings. The Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 road games with the total set at 6.5 or lower, and are 5-1 in their last 6 overall, and are 4-0 in Zitos last 4 starts. I just don’t think the Padres have the punch to keep up in this game. -Ray Monohan (Handicapperspicks.com)

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MLB Baseball Picks for July 15th 2011: Wager On The Mets And The Giants

July 15, 2011 By

MLB Picks: July 15th 2011
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Pick: Indians vs. Orioles Under 9
With the O/U line currently having climbed from 8.5 to nine (at some shops) I believe we’re getting some solid value with the “under.” Tomlin gets the call for the Tribe. He’s got a stingy 3.15 ERA with an excellent 0.85 WHIP his last three starts. Each of those was of the “quality” variety. He hasn’t beaten himself. Over those three starts, he walked just two – striking out 11. Note that the last two of those games finished with exactly nine combined runs – emphasizing the importance of getting nine rather than 8.5 here. Note that Tomlin was tough against Baltimore back in the spring. In six innings, he allowed only two runs. Admittedly, Arrieta hasn’t been quite as good as Tomlin. However, after four straight road starts, he should be thrilled to finally pitch at home again. In his last start here, he tossed seven shutout innings vs. Tampa. In fact, six of his last seven home starts, including three straight, have been of the “quality” variety. He’s been excellent in seven of nine starts here, while struggling in the other two. The O’s have seen the “under” go a lucrative 34-17-1 the past few seasons, when playing a home game where the line ranged from +100 to -125. Assuming you can get nine, consider a play on the Under. -Ben Burns

Pick: New York Mets +101
Doc’s Sports COMP Pick: Take #954 Ny Mets over Philadelphia (7:10pm est): I love to bet against rookie pitchers on the road, especially in highly intense divisional match-up like we have here in this one. Phillies starter Vance Worley has done a really good job so far in his short stretch of games in the Philadelphia starting rotation but keep in mind his last four good starts, three of them came against the light hitting Marlins, A’s and Mariners. Things don’t get much easier than pitching against that trio of offenses. In those four games Worley didn’t manage to go above a 2-1 ratio of strikeouts to walks either, which shows he was far from dominating on the hill. The Mets counter with knuckle ball pitcher R.A Dickey in this one. Dickey started the season off a little slow but has been very strong since May 20th. In those last ten starts Dickey has posted an ERA of 2.41 and has been even more impressive at home with an ERA of under 2.00 during this time. The Mets are 8-3 in Dickey’s last 11 home starts versus teams with winning records like the Phillies bring into this game tonight. Overall the Mets have won four straight games with Dickey on the hill. Big game for the Mets here as they have to decide soon if they are going to play for this season or pack it up and trade off their key pieces to build a better team for the future. This series may go a long way in deciding all of that. Overall the Mets rank higher than Philadelphia in hitting and have the better pitcher on the mound in this one. Both of those things combined with playing at home as an underdog makes them way too good to pass up on here. Take the Mets in this one. -Doc’s Sports

Pick: San Francisco Giants -133
This is a very decent price to get Tim Lincecum and the San Francisco Giants at Friday. Lincecum is having yet another tremendous season, going 7-7 with a 3.06 ERA and 1.200 WHIP with 132 strikeouts in 123 1/3 innings. Lincecum has pitched his best on the road, going 4-4 with a 2.53 ERA and 1.182 WHIP in 10 starts. He’ll be up against Dustin Moseley, who is 1-4 with a 3.83 ERA and 1.383 WHIP in eight home starts this year for San Diego. Lincecum is 6-4 with a 2.20 ERA in 15 lifetime starts versus San Diego. The Giants have won three straight and five of six overall to sit atop the NL West division at 53-40. San Diego has lost six straight, and they’ve scored a combined 4 runs in their last five games overall. The Padres are hitting .217 and scoring 2.7 runs/game at home this year. Moseley is 2-13 (-10.6 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Take the Giants on the Money Line. -Black Widow (Handicapperspicks.com)

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Expert MLB Picks for July 9th 2011: Bet The Pirates, Indians And Giants Today

July 9, 2011 By

Expert MLB Picks: July 9th 2011
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Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates -105
Play on Pittsburgh at 7:05 ET. The remarkable story that is the Pittsburgh Pirates continued last night w/ a 7-4 victory over the lowly Cubs. That win assured the team will head into the All Star Break with a winning record for the first time since 1992. Playing the Cubs this weekend pretty much assures them of a couple more wins. Tonight, Pittsburgh uses Kevin Correia, who has seen the team win 12 of his 18 starts overall, including three straight. The Cubs turn to Ryan Dempster, who has a 6.86 ERA on the road this year. 10* on Pittsburgh. -Tom Freese

Pick: Cleveland Indians -105
Toronto is 43-47 overall this year while Cleveland comes in with a 47-40 overall record on the season. Toronto has lost 3 of their last 4 games overall while Cleveland has won 6 of their last 9 games overall. Cleveland has a nice 27-16 record at home this year. Cleveland bullpen has a 3.24 ERA overall and a 3.30 ERA at home this season. Josh Tomlin is 10-4 with a 3.77 ERA overall this year, 7-1 with a 3.26 ERA at home this season and 2-0 with a 3.10 ERA his last 3 starts. Morrow is 0-2 with a 6.61 ERA overall vs Cleveland since 1997. We’ll recommend a small play on Cleveland tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky Atkinson

Pick: San Francisco Giants -172
In his last 25 innings of work, RHP Tim Lincecum has allowed only 5 earned runs. However, the Giants have won just once in his last 5 starts. Life time versus New York, the talented hurler is 2-1 with a nice 3.07 ERA. Opposing starter, lefty Chris Capuano of New York appears to be in a bad spot as his current numbers versus San Francisco are horrible at 1-4 with a 5.31 ERA. In his last two winning decisions the Mets supplied the hurler with 21 runs of support. Still, with San Francisco 13-3 versus lefties and 4-1 at home against winning units, I’ll once again take a ticket with the Giants. Good Luck. -Brad Diamond (Handicapperspicks.com)

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MLB Baseball Picks for July 6th 2011: Wager On The Giants, Pirates And Red Sox

July 6, 2011 By

MLB Baseball Picks: July 6th 2011
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Pick: San Francisco Giants -148
On Wednesday the Free MLB Power System side is on Giants. Game 966 at 10:15 eastern. The Giants fit the nice Power System Below that plays on certain home favorites off a home favored loss by 2 or more runs and scored 4 or less runs on 10+ hits vs an opponent off a road dog win that scored 5 or more runs with 4 or less men left on base. The Giants will look to bounce back from 2 straight home losses to the Padres in this 4 game mid week series. They Have M. Bumgarner on the mound and have won 3 of his last 4 starts. In his only home start vs the Padres he was very effective allowing just 2 runs in 7 innings. Tonight he opposes D. Mosely who is 2-10 as a dog and lost his last four. Look for the Giants to win this one. On Wednesday the card has a late afternoon perfect angle Play and a 18-2 Power System side tonight. Jump on and cash out on Hump day. For the free Play take the Giants. -Rob Vinciletti

Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates -114
Look for Houston’s struggles to continue against Pittsburgh. The Astros are 0-7 in the last 7 meetings overall, 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Pittsburgh ans 1-4 in Norris’ last 5 starts vs. the Pirates. The Astros are 0-4 in Norris’ last 4 starts overall. The Pirates are 5-0 in Morton’s last 5 starts vs. the National League Central. Take Pittsburgh. -Dave Price

Pick: Boston Red Sox -118
I’m fading Romero here as he has never fared well against Boston. He’s just 2-5 (2-8 on the money line) with an ERA of 7.69 in 10 career starts against the Red Sox. Plus, Boston, which has won 7 of 11 against Toronto this season, enters with all the momentum after yesterday’s thrilling one-run win. Consider that Boston is 21-3 off a one-run win over a division rival the last 3 seasons, winning by an average score of 5.8 to 2.9 in this situation. Bet Boston. -Jeff Alexander (Handicapperspicks.com)

 

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