MLB Picks for May 10th 2011: Go With Zambrano And The Cubs On Tuesday

May 10, 2011 By

MLB Picks: May 10th 2011
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Pick: Chicago Cubs +105
The Cubs have won 6 of Zambrano’s 7 starts this season and 14 of his last 17 starts dating back to last season. Big Z is in great current form with a 1.93 ERA in his latest two outings and has gone 11-1 with a 2.47 ERA in his last 15 starts. And nobody has killed the Cards like the big fella. He is 10-2 with a 3.79 ERA in his last 16 starts versus St. Louis, with the Cubs going 14-2 in those games. Plus, the Cubs are a perfect 5-0 in the last 5 meetings when Zambrano faces Carpenter. The Cards are 1-6 in Carpenters 7 starts this season and 1-7 in his last 8 road starts. St. Louis is 0-6 when Carpenter gets the ball as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. It’s losing these games by an average score of 6.0 to 3.8. Take the Cubs. -Jimmy Boyd

Pick: Seattle Mariners -104
A battle of last place teams, but the home team is the one that is struggling more. Seattle has been playing well since April 26 when they won 5 in a row. Michael Pineda (2.58 ERA) is a young ace, an electric arm strikeout out 39 in 38 innings. Seattle has a better road record than Baltimore has at home. Mariners are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series, while the Orioles 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Play the Mariners! -Jim Feist

Pick: Cincinnati Reds -120
Houston is 13-22 this year. The Astros are 8-24 their last 32 meetings with the Reds. The Astros are 5-11 in game two of series. The Astros 0-7 vs. righty starters Houston is 1-5 their last 6 games overall and they are 4-9 their last 13 games after scoring two runs or less.Cincinnati is 19-16 this year. The Reds are 40-18 their last 58 road games vs. a team with a losing road record. The he Reds are 6-0 when Homer Bailey starts with 4 days of rest. PLAY CINCINNATI (Bailey vs. Myers) -Tom Freese (Handicapperspicks.com)

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MLB Picks for April 14th 2011: Bet The Kansas City Royals And St. Louis Cardinals

April 14, 2011 By

MLB Picks: April 14th 2011
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Pick: Kansas City Royals -127
On Thursday the Free MLB System play is on the Kansas City Royals. Game 918 at 8:10 eastern. The Royals are playing good ball right now and return home off a solid road dog win, which saw them score 10 runs in a big win in Minnesota. That big win coupled with the Seattle Mariners home dog loss sets up a solid system that plays on the Royals tonight. What we want to do is play on home favorites that scored 10 or more runs in a road dog win where they won by 5 or more runs and are taking on a team off a home dog loss by 2 or more runs and scored 4 or less runs. This system has cashed 9 of 11 times since 2004. The Royals are averaging 7 runs per game over the last 7 games and 6 runs per game at home this season. The Mariners have D. Fister going tonight and he has been just average in 3 starts, all at home vs KC compiling a 4.50 era. The Mariners have a bullpen with a 6.75 road era. KC Has B. Chen going tonight and he has decent numbers vs Seattle. Look for KC to get game 1 of the series tonight. On Thursday I have the AL Total of the Month from a solid 95% system that beats the posted total by over 3 runs per game. I also have a big 11-1 MLB Power system side and a triple angle NHL Playoff total. Jump on and Cash Big on Thursday. For the free Play take the Kansas City Royals. -Rob Vinciletti

Pick: St. Louis Cardinals +120
This goes to Jaime Garcia as he has not missed a beat from his outstanding rookie season. Garcia has a lot on his shoulders seeing as Adam Wainwright was gone for the season before the season began and thus far he has seemed to feel that pressure putting up staggering numbers in his first two starts against the Giants and Padres. Garcia has 18 strike outs 9 in each game to start the year and he’s given up just 1 earned run and only 8 hits over 15 innings pitched. Now he will have a lot to say in this match up as he goes up against Hiroki Kuroda who is another fella on our top pitching report for Thursday. That’s the main reason he is a dog and that his lone start vs. the Dodgers in 2010 was a poor start where he lasted just 3.1 innings. However, I don’t look into that too much as Garcia was coming off 9 days rest with the All Star break in between his previous start. Just feel like he will keep them in the game as the Dodgers don’t really hit lefties hard they were 28th in the league in OPS vs. left handed pitchers a year ago. -Freddy Wills (Handicapperspicks.com)

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MLB Picks for April 10th 2011: Bet The Dodgers And Padres To Go Over The Posted Total

April 10, 2011 By

MLB Picks: April 10th 2011
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Pick: Dodgers vs. Padres Over 7
On Sunday the free MLB Totals play is on the Over in the Dodgers at Padres game. Rotation numbers 911/912 at 4:05 eastern. This game fits a totals system that has played to the over 11 of 14 times and pertains to home teams off a home dog loss with a total of 8 or less and no more than 1 error and scored 2 or less runs vs an opponent that scored 4 or less runs and has 10 or more base runner left on. The Dodgers have played to the over both times in day games this season and the Padres have played over 3 of 4 times vs right handers. Today they send A. Harang to the mound. In his recent starts vs the Dodgers he has allowed 11 runs in 15 innings. He opposes J. Ely here today. The total is a little low for these two here today. After all Ely and Harang is not exactly Seaver and Carlton. Both bull pens have been mediocre at best thus far as well. Play this one over the total. On Sunday NBA Triple System 100% Game of the Month + Late season NBA Systems on both TV Games. MLB Power system play in Late ESPN GAME + Early 100% MLB Totals system- Saturday we hit all 3 games. Jump on and Cash big on Sunday. For the free Play play the Dodgers and Padres over the total. -Rob Vinciletti

Pick: St. Louis Cardinals +131
The Cardinals have struggled offensively, but I like their chances against Zito today. The weakest link in the San Francisco rotation is 1-5 (1-6 on the money line) lifetime against St. Louis with an ERA of 5.02 and a WHIP of 1.779. The Cards knocked him out in 3 2/3 innings in his most recent start against them, touching him for 5 runs on their way to a 9-0 victory. In addition, the Giants are 1-9 in Zito’s last 10 starts. After taking a pair of tough 1-run losses in the first 2 games of the series, St. Louis will do all it can to salvage a game here. My money is on the Cards considering they are 5-1 in their last 6 game 3′s of a series and 12-2 in their last 14 Sunday games. Take St. Louis. -Jimmy Boyd

Pick: Indians vs. Mariners Over 7
With the way that Cleveland has been swinging their bats it’s hard to pass up on this total. The Indians are averaging 6.3 runs per game on their own, including 7.5 against lefties and 12 runs per game on the road. Granted, the Mariners have struggled offensively, but neither team has particularly effective starters or bullpens. I think we see this one hit well beyond the low 7 run total. -Bobby Conn (Handicapperspicks.com)

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MLB Picks for April 8th 2011: Wager On The Atlanta Braves And Seattle Mariners

April 8, 2011 By

MLB Picks: April 8th 2011
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Pick: Dodgers vs. Padres Under 7
On Friday the MLB Totals system is on the Under in the LA. Dodgers ar SD. Padres game. Rotation numbers 915/916 at 10:35 eastern. This game fits a nice 78% totals system that plays to the Under for home teams off a road loss if the total is 8 or less and their opponent comes in off a road dog loss and scored 5 or more runs in the loss. The Padres have a solid lefty in Richard going tonight and he has a solid 2.56 era in starts vs the Dodgers. LA Counters with lefty T. Lilly. In his starts vs the Padres Lilly has gone under in 8 of 10 starts. In the series here 14 of the past 18 have played under. Look for this one to follow suit. On Friday I have 4 Big Plays led by the NBA Revenge Game of the Month from a 96% System and a Double MLB Diamond Cutter system. One of the System has not lost and wins by an average 6-1 score. As always no heavy favorites. Jump on and start the weekend right. For the free Play take the under in the Dodgers at Padres game. -Rob Vinciletti

Pick: Atlanta Braves +100
Hudson has won his last 2 starts against the Phillies. Plus, the Braves are 8-3 in his last 11 home starts. This is Philly’s first road game of the season and Atlanta will be looking to make an early statement. Letdown city for Philly following Thursday’s 11-0 win. Take the Braves in their home opener. -Dave Price

Pick: Seattle Mariners -121
A long road trip for Cleveland, a team that played yesterday at home. And what a great series, sweeping the favored Red Sox, so the team did some celebrating. Starter Carlos Carrasco has a 9.45 ERA giving up 10 hits and 2 walks in 6+ innings, while Seattle’s Jason Vargas has a 1.35 ERA. Seattle has had a full day of rest and this is their home opener. Play the Mariners! -Jim Feist (Handicapperspicks.com)

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MLB Picks for April 6th 2011: Look For A Low Scorer In The Mariners vs. Rangers Game

April 6, 2011 By

MLB Picks: April 6th 2011
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Pick: Mariners vs. Rangers Under 8
Rangers scoring 3 runs on Tuesday, could that mean their offense is slowing down? Not sure but this is a risky play but once you hear why you will be confident and know why it’s a free bet too. I was very tempted to pull the string on King Felix and Seattle looking at some number, but a couple things caught my eye and one is he had two starts where he gave 5 and 7 ER vs. Texas. No team has seen him more in the last three years as he has 117.1 IP against them.. Still an ERA under 4, but when a team sees you more they are more likely to get to you. The Rangers will not need much on Wednesday either. Here is the stat that pushed me away from the Mariners despite their relatively decent success vs. CJ Wilson. They were just 14-36 a year ago vs. lefties and they were just the worst team in day games producing just 2.71 runs per game. Now they go up against a lefty and playing the day after a night game this spells trouble for them against CJ Wilson who was very good last year early in the season. Texas on the other hand should be limited to runs and I think 8 is a high total with these two aces on the mound. Felix is just a monster during day starts he had a 1.95 ERA in 10 day starts a year ago and in the last three years combined he has a 2.21 ERA and in April he has also been a monster with an 8-2 record and a 2.27 ERA over the last three years. Texas although has been hot was in the bottom half of the league in runs scored during day games as they put up 1 run per game less than at night with just 4.13. Now facing an ace like Felix and their offense looking like it may be cooling off we find it the perfect time to take this. If you are a sucker for trends here they are. Seattle under 19-6-3 in Felix’s last 28 road games, seems to really put an extra effort when he plays a good team. Seattle U33-15-3 with Felix on the mound last 53 as an under dog and he’s under 40-18-4 in his last 64 road starts. He’s not a pitcher that is worse on the road or vs. a division. This one has a low scoring game written all over it and we will capitalize with Vegas posting it high as the Rangers have averaged 7 runs a game. -Freddy Wills

Pick: Los Angeles Angels -101
Los Angeles’ Dan Haren had a great outing in his first start of the season going seven innings and allowing only one run while striking out six without walking a batter get the start at Tampa Wednesday afternoon. Haren is 5-2 lifetime over the Rays with a career ERA of 2.74 in over 62 innings. Tampa is just not the same with all the defections and Longoria’s absence won’t help. Take ANGELS! -Chip Chirimbes (Handicapperspicks.com)

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