MLB Picks: September 27th 2011
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Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -104
The Phillies 4-2 win over Atlanta on Monday showed me that this team isn’t going to just roll over the final three games of the season and let the Braves walk into the playoffs. I actually think Philadelphia would prefer that the Braves don’t make it. They figure to have a great shot at winning game 2 of the series with Roy Oswalt on the mound against Derek Lowe. Oswalt has dominated the Braves since joining the Phillies, he is 1-0 with a 1.71 ERA in four starts with three of those starts resulting in Phillies wins. Lowe has not had much success of late against Philadelphia, allowing 9 ER on 18 hits over 11 innings in his last two starts. Lowe is also 0-3 with a 7.98 ERA and 1.978 WHIP in his last three starts. Philadelphia is 10-2 in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning record and 12-4 in their last 16 games following a win. BET THE PHILLIES! -Steve Janus

Pick: Florida Marlins -152
I like the Marlins with Vazquez on the mound tonight. The Marlins have won each of his last 6 starts, during which he has only allowed a total of 4 earned runs in 43 innings. He has been nearly unhittable recently, not allowing a run in his last 3 starts spanning 22 innings. He’s also won his last 2 starts against the Nats, giving up only 1 run in 16 innings of work. Lannan hasn’t been as good for Washington, and the Nationals are 2-6 in his last 8 starts as a result. They are 1-4 in his last 5 starts vs. the Marlins. The Nationals are 20-51 in the last 71 meetings in this series and 17-35 in the last 52 meetings in Florida. We’ll take the Marlins. -Jimmy Boyd

Pick: Yankees vs. Rays Under 8.5
The Rays are now tied with the BoSox for the wildcard and for Tampa Bay’s part, this is a playoff series. Hellickson is 3-2 with a 2.03 ERA in his L7 starts for the homies. Bartolo Colon was lit by the Ray at the Stadium just five days ago but has good numbers at the Trop and July 19th lost this same matchup with Hellickson 3-2. The Yankees are resting their regualrs and the series is 6-2 to the under in L8. Further, Ray home games are 49-25 Low. Runs will be tough to come in this playoff atmosphere. Play the Under. -Dennis Macklin (Handicapperspicks.com)

MLB Picks: September 15th 2011
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Pick: Colorado Rockies -128
I really like the Rockies to take down the Giants in the series opener tonight. The Rockies have won three of four and are in great shape to put an end to the Giants four game winning streak. Colorado is 14-9 at home against the Giants over the last three seasons and I believe they have a clear edge on the mound. The Rockies will start Jhoulys Chacin against Ryan Vogelsong. Both starters have pitched effectively this season and against the opposing team. However, this will be Vogelsong’s first start at Colorado. He has clearly been a better home pitcher this season. He has a 2.74 ERA on the season, but a 3.36 ERA on the road. He is also 0-3 with a 3.54 ERA in his last three starts. Chacin is 3-1 with a 2.08 ERA in four career starts against the Giants. Colorado is 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter, and 4-1 in Chacin’s last 5 starts vs. National League West. BET THE ROCKIES -Steve Janus

Pick: Tampa Bay Rays +100
For starters, Adrian Gonzalez is questionable and David Ortiz is doubtful for this game tonight as of this writing. Tampa Bay is 4 games behind Boston and this series is the best way for them to make up ground as they are running out of town. Boston is only 3-10 in all games this September. Tampa Bay has won 5 of their last 7 games overall. Boston has lost 6 of their last 7 games overall. Jeremy Hellickson has been solid all year. Hellickson is 12-10 with a 2.96 ERA overall this year, 6-5 with a 3.62 ERA on the road this season and has a 2.57 ERA his last 3 starts. Kyle Weiland is 0-1 with a 6.76 in games this year, 0-1 with a 7.71 ERA in all starts and has a 13.50 ERA at home this season. Tampa Bay is 4-1 at Boston this year. We’ll recommend a small play on Tampa Bay tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky Atkinson

PIck: Florida Marlins +295
Anibal Sanchez has quietly put together a brilliant stretch, with a 0.86 ERA his last three starts fanning 21 in 21 innings. Sanchez tossed nine scoreless innings and was the winning pitcher Saturday against the Pirates. He allowed just one hit while walking three and striking out 11. Sanchez has not allowed an earned run over his last two starts (15 innings) and has 16 strikeouts over those starts. The win brings his record to 8-7 on the season to accompany a 3.64 ERA, 184 strikeouts and 56 walks. A great spot for the big dog with a red-hot, under the radar starter. Play the Marlins. -Jim Feist (Free MLB Baseball Picks)

MLB Picks: September 12th 2011
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Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates +123
I feel that we’re getting solid value with the home underdog Pirates here. Lincoln is 1-2 his last three starts. However, he’s got a stellar 2.50 ERA over those three starts, averaging six complete innings. On the other hand, Lohse is 2-1 but has an ugly 6.43 ERA his last three starts, averaging less than five innings in those games. Lohse is 2-1 with a solid 3.75 ERA vs. the Pirates this season. However, Lincoln is 1-0 with a superb 1.13 ERA in two starts vs. the Cards this season. While they’re below .500, the Pirates have had a somewhat respectable season. They’d love to help ensure that the Cards don’t make the playoffs. Consider Pittsburgh. -Ben Burns

Pick: Tampa Bay Rays -125
Tampa Bay has won 4 in a row and 7 of their last 8 games overall putting them only 3 1/2 games behind Boston in the AL East. Tampa Bay is 45-21 this year when playing against a team with a losing record. Baltimore is 22-56 this year when playing against a team with a winning record. Tampa Bay sends Jeff Niemann to the mound where he has been good on the road with a 6-2 record and a 3.36 ERA this season. Tampa Bay is 5-1 this year when playing at Baltimore. We’ll recommend a small play on Tampa Bay tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky Atkinson (Handicapperspicks.com)

MLB Picks: August 2nd 2011
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Pick: Tampa Bay Rays -145
The Rays get the call as our free play with ace David Price set to take the mound. Tampa Bay is an impressive 25-8 in Price’s starts against AL East foes the last 3 seasons, and much of that damage has been done against Toronto. Price is 8-0 (9-0 on the ML) with an ERA of 1.99 in 9 career starts against the Blue Jays. He’s allowed 1 or no runs in 7 of those outings. Price should be very fresh tonight having not pitched since last Tuesday. The extended rest bodes well for us as the Rays are 5-0 in his last 5 starts coming on 6 days’ rest. Toronto’s struggles in Tampa Bay are also worth noting. The Jays are only 7-25 in their last 32 road games in this series. We’ll take the Rays tonight. -Jimmy Boyd

Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -117
Philadelphia is 68-39 overall this year while Colorado comes in with a 51-57 overall record this season. Philadelphia is 38-20 the past 3 years on the road when the money line is -100 to -125. Philadelphia has won 4 in a row heading into tonight. Philadelphia bullpen has a 3.39 ERA overall this year and a 3.45 ERA on the road this season. Kyle Kendrick has a 3.32 ERA his last 3 starts. Aaron Cook is 2-5 with a 5.05 ERA overall this year and 0-3 at home this season. Philadelphia has won 15 of 20 meetings vs Colorado the past 3 years including 7-2 at Colorado. Cook is 2-6 with a 6.13 ERA overall vs Philadelphia since 1997. We’ll recommend a small play on Philadelphia tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky Atkinson (Handicapperspicks.com)

MLB Baseball Picks: July 26th 2011
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Pick: Cincinnati Reds -142
I’ll back the Cincinnati RedS Tuesday behind Ace Johnny Cueto to beat the New York Mets in Game 2 of this series. Cincinnati has been an excellent home team all season, hitting .268 and scoring 5.0 RPG there. The Reds have also thrived against left-handed starters, batting .283 and putting up 5.5 RPG versus southpaws. They’ll be up against lefty Jon Niese, who sports a 3.63 ERA on the season and a 4.07 ERA on the road. Niese is no match for Cueto, who is 6-3 with a 1.98 ERA and 1.003 WHIP in 14 starts this year, including 2-1 with a 2.14 ERA and 0.921 WHIP in five home outings. Niese has never beaten Cincinnati, going 0-1 with a 4.61 ERA and 1.390 WHIP in two career starts against the Reds. While Cueto has never beaten the Mets either, his last start against them came on 5/5/2010 in a game the Reds won 5-4 after he gave up just 3 earned runs in 6 innings. Cueto is perhaps the most improved starter in the league this season as he’s finally learned how to pitch. The Mets are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a win. The Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 games following a loss. Cincinnati is 30-11 in their last 41 home games vs. a left-handed starter. The Reds are 4-0 in Cueto’s last 4 starts as a favorite. Take Cincinnati Tuesday.

Pick: Tampa Bay Rays -126
Play on Tampa Bay at 10:05 ET. Oakland got the suddenly slumping Rays last night, but tonight I like Tampa to bounce back with David Price on the mound. The big lefty has a 12-2 TSR in road night games and 14-3 as road chalk of -125 or greater. The team is 8-1 this season as a road fave of -125 to -150. I don’t see the A’s weak hitting lineup doing much against Price and Brandon McCarthy has a 2-8 TSR in night games this season. 10* on Tampa Bay. -Tom Freese (Handicapperspicks.com)

MLB Picks: July 23rd 2011
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Pick: Minnesota Twins -131
Twins -130 over Tigers- Detroit has moved into position to challenge Cleveland and they were 10-1 in their last 11 meetings against Minnesota. Unfortunately for them Brad Penny gets the start this afternoon and he is the Tigers weak link in their rotation. The Tigers have struggled of late as underdogs winning only 2 of their last nine and the Twins are 18-7 in their last 25 at home. Take MINNESOTA! -Chip Chirimbes

Pick: Chicago White Sox -102
The White Sox have an excellent chance to win the Central because of their pitching, which is precisely what I expect to carry them to victory today. Jackson enters with tons of confidence after tossing a complete game shutout against Detroit in his last start. It’s not as if he needed any added confidence against the Indians, a team he is 8-1 lifetime against with an ERA of 2.80. The White Sox are 9-3 in Jackson’s last 12 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Huff has only made 1 start for the Tribe this season, and I don’t expect it to go as well as the first. He has an 8.04 lifetime ERA in 3 starts against Chicago, and the Indians are just 1-6 in his last 7 starts. The White Sox have won 7 of the last 8 meetings in this series overall and 7 of the last 8 in Cleveland. We’ll take the Sox. -Jimmy Boyd

Pick: Tampa Bay Rays -105
Talk about hard luck, RHP Jeff Niemann (4-4, 3.94) of Tampa Bay throw between the white line this evening off an 8 inning, 2-hitter, while losing to 1-0 to the Red Sox in the Sunshine State. Prior to that loss the Rays had won 4 straight starts with Niemann. Life time Niemann is 3-0 (0.71) with a 0.55 WHIP. The Rays are 13 of 18 in the series and 5 of 7 in Kansas City. Kansas City counters with lefty Jeff Francis, but the club has lost 6 straight behind the veteran. I’ll take a ticket with Tampa Bay. -Brad Diamond (Handicapperspicks.com)