MLB Picks for August 2nd 2011: Bet The Tampa Bay Rays and Philadelphia Phillies

August 2, 2011 By

MLB Picks: August 2nd 2011
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Pick: Tampa Bay Rays -145
The Rays get the call as our free play with ace David Price set to take the mound. Tampa Bay is an impressive 25-8 in Price’s starts against AL East foes the last 3 seasons, and much of that damage has been done against Toronto. Price is 8-0 (9-0 on the ML) with an ERA of 1.99 in 9 career starts against the Blue Jays. He’s allowed 1 or no runs in 7 of those outings. Price should be very fresh tonight having not pitched since last Tuesday. The extended rest bodes well for us as the Rays are 5-0 in his last 5 starts coming on 6 days’ rest. Toronto’s struggles in Tampa Bay are also worth noting. The Jays are only 7-25 in their last 32 road games in this series. We’ll take the Rays tonight. -Jimmy Boyd

Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -117
Philadelphia is 68-39 overall this year while Colorado comes in with a 51-57 overall record this season. Philadelphia is 38-20 the past 3 years on the road when the money line is -100 to -125. Philadelphia has won 4 in a row heading into tonight. Philadelphia bullpen has a 3.39 ERA overall this year and a 3.45 ERA on the road this season. Kyle Kendrick has a 3.32 ERA his last 3 starts. Aaron Cook is 2-5 with a 5.05 ERA overall this year and 0-3 at home this season. Philadelphia has won 15 of 20 meetings vs Colorado the past 3 years including 7-2 at Colorado. Cook is 2-6 with a 6.13 ERA overall vs Philadelphia since 1997. We’ll recommend a small play on Philadelphia tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky Atkinson (Handicapperspicks.com)

 

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MLB Baseball Picks for July 26th 2011: Wager On Cincinnati And Tampa Bay

July 26, 2011 By

MLB Baseball Picks: July 26th 2011
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Pick: Cincinnati Reds -142
I’ll back the Cincinnati RedS Tuesday behind Ace Johnny Cueto to beat the New York Mets in Game 2 of this series. Cincinnati has been an excellent home team all season, hitting .268 and scoring 5.0 RPG there. The Reds have also thrived against left-handed starters, batting .283 and putting up 5.5 RPG versus southpaws. They’ll be up against lefty Jon Niese, who sports a 3.63 ERA on the season and a 4.07 ERA on the road. Niese is no match for Cueto, who is 6-3 with a 1.98 ERA and 1.003 WHIP in 14 starts this year, including 2-1 with a 2.14 ERA and 0.921 WHIP in five home outings. Niese has never beaten Cincinnati, going 0-1 with a 4.61 ERA and 1.390 WHIP in two career starts against the Reds. While Cueto has never beaten the Mets either, his last start against them came on 5/5/2010 in a game the Reds won 5-4 after he gave up just 3 earned runs in 6 innings. Cueto is perhaps the most improved starter in the league this season as he’s finally learned how to pitch. The Mets are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a win. The Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 games following a loss. Cincinnati is 30-11 in their last 41 home games vs. a left-handed starter. The Reds are 4-0 in Cueto’s last 4 starts as a favorite. Take Cincinnati Tuesday.

Pick: Tampa Bay Rays -126
Play on Tampa Bay at 10:05 ET. Oakland got the suddenly slumping Rays last night, but tonight I like Tampa to bounce back with David Price on the mound. The big lefty has a 12-2 TSR in road night games and 14-3 as road chalk of -125 or greater. The team is 8-1 this season as a road fave of -125 to -150. I don’t see the A’s weak hitting lineup doing much against Price and Brandon McCarthy has a 2-8 TSR in night games this season. 10* on Tampa Bay. -Tom Freese (Handicapperspicks.com)

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MLB Picks for July 23rd 2011: Bet The Twins, White Sox And Rays Today

July 23, 2011 By

MLB Picks: July 23rd 2011
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Pick: Minnesota Twins -131
Twins -130 over Tigers- Detroit has moved into position to challenge Cleveland and they were 10-1 in their last 11 meetings against Minnesota. Unfortunately for them Brad Penny gets the start this afternoon and he is the Tigers weak link in their rotation. The Tigers have struggled of late as underdogs winning only 2 of their last nine and the Twins are 18-7 in their last 25 at home. Take MINNESOTA! -Chip Chirimbes

Pick: Chicago White Sox -102
The White Sox have an excellent chance to win the Central because of their pitching, which is precisely what I expect to carry them to victory today. Jackson enters with tons of confidence after tossing a complete game shutout against Detroit in his last start. It’s not as if he needed any added confidence against the Indians, a team he is 8-1 lifetime against with an ERA of 2.80. The White Sox are 9-3 in Jackson’s last 12 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Huff has only made 1 start for the Tribe this season, and I don’t expect it to go as well as the first. He has an 8.04 lifetime ERA in 3 starts against Chicago, and the Indians are just 1-6 in his last 7 starts. The White Sox have won 7 of the last 8 meetings in this series overall and 7 of the last 8 in Cleveland. We’ll take the Sox. -Jimmy Boyd

Pick: Tampa Bay Rays -105
Talk about hard luck, RHP Jeff Niemann (4-4, 3.94) of Tampa Bay throw between the white line this evening off an 8 inning, 2-hitter, while losing to 1-0 to the Red Sox in the Sunshine State. Prior to that loss the Rays had won 4 straight starts with Niemann. Life time Niemann is 3-0 (0.71) with a 0.55 WHIP. The Rays are 13 of 18 in the series and 5 of 7 in Kansas City. Kansas City counters with lefty Jeff Francis, but the club has lost 6 straight behind the veteran. I’ll take a ticket with Tampa Bay. -Brad Diamond (Handicapperspicks.com)

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MLB Baseball Predictions for July 22nd 2011: Bet The Braves, Rays And Padres

July 22, 2011 By

MLB Baseball Predictions: July 22nd 2011
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Prediction: Atlanta Braves -108
Atlanta is 58-41 overall this year while Cincinnati comes in with a 48-50 overall record this season. Cincinnati is 17-30 this year after a win. Atlanta is a decent 28-22 on the road this year. Atlanta bullpen has a 2.94 ERA overall this year and a 3.62 ERA on the road this season. Jair Jurrjens is 12-3 with a 2.26 ERA overall this year, 5-2 with a 1.96 ERA on the road this season and 2-0 with a 3.15 ERA his last 3 starts. Bronson Arroyo is 3-7 with a 5.35 ERA at home this year and 0-2 with an 8.66 ERA his last 3 starts. We’ll recommend a small play on Atlanta tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky Atkinson

Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays -102
The Rays enter their series at Kansas City with plenty of momentum on their side following a 2-1 win over the Yankees that earned them a series split. The Rays have won 13 of their last 18 meetings against the Royals, including 5 of their last 7 in Kansas City, and I expect their dominance in the matchup to continue. The Royals have gone down the last 4 times Hochevar has taken the ball in a series opener. They have also lost each of his 4 career starts against the Rays, during which he has posted an ERA of 10.00. After a good rehab outing and a strong bullpen session this week, Davis is ready to return to the rotation. The Rays have won both of his starts against the Royals, during which he has posted an ERA of just 1.29. The Rays are 13-5 in Davis’ last 18 road starts and 12-1 in his last 13 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. Take Tampa. -Jimmy Boyd

Prediction: San Diego Padres +175
The San Diego Padres are going to be busy by the phone over the coming weeks as they will be fielding calls about their talented pitchers as the contenders try and bulk up for the stretch drive. The Padres have won their last three games in a row. The Padres pitching staff has a team ERA of 3.20 with the starters at 3.41 and the bullpen at 2.80. For game one against the Phillies San Diego starts Cary Luebke who has won two of his last three starts and has allowed four runs total over that span. For the season Luebke has allowed 36 hits and 18 earned runs while strikingout 69 in 63 innings of work. TAKE SAN DIEGO PLUS -Bob Wingerter (Handicapperspicks.com)

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MLB Picks for July 21st 2011: Bet The Rays As An Underdog Against The Yanks

July 21, 2011 By

MLB Picks: July 21st 2011
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Pick: Tampa Bay Rays +130
The Tampa Bay Rays are showing excellent value Thursday as a home underdog to the New York Yankees. Ace James Shields takes the ball for Tampa, looking to build on what has been a tremendous season to this point for the right-hander. Shields is 8-8 with a 2.60 ERA and 1.002 WHIP with 145 strikeouts in 148 2/3 innings. He faced off against C.C. Sabathia on July 10th less than two weeks ago, not allowing a single earned run in 8 innings while giving up only 5 base runners to the Yankees. While Sabathia has been solid as well, Tampa is 30-13 (+18.4 Units) against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons. The Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Tampa is 4-1 in Shields’ last 5 starts as a home underdog, while the Yankees are 1-4 in Sabathia’s last 5 road starts vs. Rays. Take the Rays on the Money Line. -Black Widow

Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -110
Play on Arizona at 9:40 ET. Milwaukee has won 2 straight at Arizona (and 8 of 9), but they remain a bad road team at 20-32 (compared to 33-14 at home). Starter Zack Greinke has really struggled on the road this season (6.19 ERA) and the last two seasons (6-17 TSR). For his career, Grienke has a terrible 15-45 TSR as a road underdog. The team is 2-13 on the road this season after allowing 2 runs or less their previous game. Arizona’s Ian Kennedy is in fine form this year with a 113-37 KW ratio. 10* on Arizona. -Tom Freese

Pick: Yankees vs. Rays Under 7
These clubs have played to the Under in 5 of their last 7 meetings, and I expect this trend to continue with Sabathia and Shields taking the mound. These two were dominant when they faced off on July 10. Both threw 4 hitters in a 1-0 Yankees’ win. Sabathia enters in ridiculously good form, allowing 1 or fewer runs in each of his last 5 starts. Shields has allowed 2 earned runs of less in 5 of his last 7 starts. Tampa Bay’s recent drought at the plate also weighs in our favor here. The Rays have scored just seven runs over their last 42 innings. The Under is 5-1 in the Yankees’ last 6 overall and 15-3 in Shields’ last 18 home starts. Take the Under. -Jimmy Boyd (Handicapperspicks.com)

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