2011 Week 1 Expert NFL Picks: September 11th 2011
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Week 1 Expert NFL Pick: Buffalo Bills +209 (Moneyline)
Bills +6 (1.5* play) Bills +210 (1* play) Chiefs are over rated and now they got Matt Cassel who is injured with a rib injury not sure how that may impact his twisting and throwing but it can’t be good. Then we have a repeat of an OT loss for the Bills last year. I don’t see how it could get worse for the Bills their top 2 WR were held in check and their 31st ranked run defense gave up nearly 300 yards to the Chiefs #1 run offense yet they almost won the game. This year the Bills front 7 is improved and I think they can pressure Cassel a bit with Merriman, Kyle Williams and Barnett. Don’t forget the new addition rookie Marcel Dareus who should help clog up holes at 320 lbs and a real talent. Chiefs were 4-16 on 3rd downs a year ago so the Bills defense were better than the stats indicated. I think Ryan Fitzpatrick is under rated and he’s got two running backs that can do damage in Jackson and Spiller. Look for this to be a close game decided in the 4th, the Chiefs are over rated. -Freddy Wills

Week 1 Expert NFL Pick: Kansas City Chiefs -5.5
The Chiefs needed every bit of overtime to beat the Bills 13-10 at home last season, but I have a good feeling that won’t be the case this time around. Buffalo came into that game 0-6, which likely had the Chiefs looking ahead to their game against division rival Oakland the following week. Buffalo had the worst rush defense in the NFL, while the Chiefs had the No. 1 rated rush offense. Buffalo might be able to keep this game close, but I look for the Chiefs to pull away with big plays late and win this game by at least 10 points. BET THE CHIEFS! -Steve Janus

Week 1 Expert NFL Pick: Seahawks vs. 49ers Under 38
Both teams were absolutely brutal on offense during the preseason. Aaron Smith has led a charmed life getting paid despite his poor play and it won’t be long before he’s replaced by Colin Kaepernick. The Taveris jackson guided Seahawk offense was good for just two TDs in four preseason games and faces a tough task against a staunch 49ers front seven. The final game in this divisional series ended 40-21 thanks to six Seahawk turnovers. The prior three games (37-37-33) al went under the total and featured just 505, 548, and 662 yards of total offense. Points figure to be very tough to come by here. Play the Under. -Dennis Macklin

Week 1 Expert NFL Pick: San Francisco 49ers -5.5
Seattle has made many big changes on their team and Tarvaris Jackson leading the Seahawks will be interesting. This cat isn’t even a good backup QB. New head coach Jim Harbaugh in San Francisco has decided to give Alex Smith another crack as his QB; we will see how that works as SF has the better defense and the better running game to go along with home field. They now have some more weapons around him adding Braylon Edwards as another threat receiving the ball. Gore, who played awful against Seattle last year (2.2/carry) will play well again on Sunday. -Tony Karpinski (Handicapperspicks.com)

BetUS Sportsbook is back with another set of NFL parlay picks in the Week 1 NFL betting duel between the Minnesota Vikings and the New Orleans Saints from the Louisiana Superdome.
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Minnesota Vikings vs. New Orleans Saints
Game Date/Time: Thursday, September 9th, 8:30 ET
Game Location: Louisiana Superdome, New Orleans, LA
TV/Radio Broadcast: NBC, Westwood One, Sirius

Football Odds: Minnesota Vikings (+5) -110 vs. New Orleans Saints (-5) -110: Over/Under 48

The poor Vikings have been all over the board in the preseason. First, Tarvaris Jackson and Sage Rosenfels thought they were dueling for the starting quarterback job. Then Brett Favre came back to town. Then Sidney Rice was ruled out for the first half of the regular season. Then Percy Harvin suffered migraines that have kept him off of the field for a number of weeks.

Now Rosenfels is gone, Jackson is a backup, and the receiving corps for the men in purple and gold is totally cut and paste.

To Favre’s credit, he is coming off of a season in which he played like an MVP, but odds have it, a preseason with two picks and no TD passes probably doesn’t bode well for another season of less than double digits in INTs.
Inevitably, there is going to be more pressure put on Adrian Peterson this year after the departure of backup Chester Taylor. AP rushed for 122 yards in the postseason defeat last year to the Saints, but that was his only 100 yard rushing game since Week 10 of the regular season.

On the other side of the field, the Saints have done nothing but stay remarkably consistent. They are notably thin at running back after the losses of Lynell Hamilton and PJ Hill in the preseason, but aside from that, they made it out of training camp relatively unscathed.

It looks like a potentially fantastic year once again for Drew Brees, who is working on the heels of a season in which he threw for 4,388 yards and 34 TDs.

You have to go back to Week 15 against the Dallas Cowboys to find the last time that Brees was picked off in a game, and you can bet that he’ll be hard pressed to turn the pigskin over in this one as well.

NFL Insider Tip: The Vikings have covered five straight and seven out of eight spreads in this series, making them great NFL parlay picks dating back to 2001.

That all ends on Thursday, though. Minnesota just has too many question marks coming into this game, particularly offensively, and with the banners being raised on Thursday night for their first championship, the Saints are certainly going to be coming out with guns blazing.

The Saints would make for great NFL parlays picks on Thursday night.

My NFL Predictions: New Orleans Saints (-5) -110

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BetUS Sportsbook is back with another fantastic NFL line analysis in the Week 4 NFL preseason duel between the Denver Broncos and the Minnesota Vikings from Minneapolis.
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Denver Broncos vs. Minnesota Vikings
Game Date/Time: Thursday, September 2nd, 8:00 ET
Game Location: Mall of America Field, Minneapolis, MN
TV/Radio Broadcast: Local TV, Westwood One, Sirius

NFL Football Odds: Denver Broncos (+4.5) -110 vs. Minnesota Vikings (-4.5) -110: Over/Under 35

The key to figuring out the winner of the football game line in this one is going to be quarterback play.

Quite simply, for the visiting Broncos, their QBs just aren’t quite there yet. Neither Brady Quinn nor Tim Tebow is completing more than 57 percent of their passes, and neither has even reached 200 passing yards yet in the preseason. The two have also combined to throw just one touchdown against two INTs.

Denver is clearly also not being helped by its defense, which is allowing 385.3 yards per game, the second worst total in the NFL. Will the ‘D’ that picked off three passes and made life a living hell for the quarterbacks of the Pittsburgh Steelers show up? Or will the one that seemingly tanked its first two games of the year rear its ugly head?

If it is the latter, the backup QBs for the Vikings are going to make Denver pay. The Vikes, without a doubt, have the strong trio of quarterbacks right now in the league, and even if Brett Favre doesn’t play (or doesn’t play much), there is no reason not to believe in the combination of Tarvaris Jackson and Sage Rosenfels.

Look for Rosenfels to get the majority of the reps once again for the men in purple and gold, as this will probably be the last time that he ever steps foot on the turf for his current team. Rosenfels has looked sharp all preseason long, completing 63.8 percent of his passes for 392 yards with four scores and no picks.

Even the fourth man on the depth chart, rookie Joe Webb has looked great, throwing for 91 yards and two TDs and rushing for another 78 yards and a score.

NFL Insider Tip: These two teams are clearly in different mindsets right now in terms of recent form. Denver is just 2-5 ATS and 1-6 SU in its L/7 games overall, while Minnesota has beaten the football game line in five of its L/6.

That being said, we tend to believe that the backups for the Vikings are just all around better than they are for the Broncos. Yes, we understand that Tebow generally refuses to lose as a starter, but this is a game that isn’t exactly for keeps. Go with Minnesota, and you’ll be a winner against the football game line on Thursday night.

My NFL Predictions: Minnesota Vikings -4.5

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