Free MLB Baseball Betting Picks for July 28th 2011

Free MLB Baseball Betting Picks: July 28th 2011
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Pick: Boston Red Sox -1.5 -140
We’ll side with the Boston Red Sox Thursday on the Run Line as they send Ace Josh Beckett to the bump. The Red Sox are 19-4 in their last 23 games overall, winning 16 times by two runs or more. Kansas City send Luke Hochevar to the mound, who is 6-8 with a 5.29 ERA and 1.366 WHIP in 21 starts this season. Beckett is 9-3 with a 2.07 ERA and 0.905 WHIP in 19 starts, and 4-0 with a 1.61 ERA and 0.933 WHIP in eight home outings. He is the frontrunner to win the AL Cy Young award with what he has done this season. Kansas City is 1-9 against the run line (-11.3 Units) after allowing 12 runs or more over the last 2 seasons, losing by 5.3 runs/game in this spot. The Red Sox are 20-11 against the run line (+12.4 Units) in day games this season. Beckett is 10-1 against the run line (+9.0 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Take the Red Sox on the Run Line. -Black Widow

Pick: Oakland Athletics -122
Tampa Bay seems to have lost their motivation to come to ballpark. A lot of that probably has to do with the fact that they are coming to terms with the fact that they aren’t going to make the playoffs. Not only are they not hitting the ball, but they aren’t pitching worth a crap either. While the A’s are also pretty much out of the playoff race, they are still playing hard and doing whatever it takes to bring home a win. Oakland is 7-3 in their last 10 games, and I think this team will be excited for the chance to sweep the Rays today. The A’s will start Rich Harden, who is coming off back-to-back strong starts. He allowed just 3 runs over 7 innings in a 4-3 win (no decision) over the Angels on July, 16 and held the Yankees to just 2 runs in his last start. Tampa Bay is just 2-16 in their last 18 games after losing the first 3 games of a series, while the A’s are 6-2 in their last 8 during game 4 of a series. -Steve Janus

Pick: Toronto Blue Jays -155
Toronto has won 20 of its last 23 home games against Baltimore and will have an excellent chance to build on this run with Baltimore’s Bergesen stepping to the hill. That’s because the Orioles have lost 11 of his last 13 starts. Plus, the Blue Jays are 4-0 in Villanueva’s last 4 starts versus a team with a losing record. Take the Jays. -Dave Price

Pick: Texas Rangers -152
After back-to-back losses to the Twins, expect the Rangers to come storming back to earn a split in the series. One thing you don’t want to do is make a habit out of fading the Rangers at home off 2 or more losses. That’s because they are 17-2 the last 2 seasons in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses, winning by an average of 3.3 runs/game in this situation. Baker hasn’t been quite as good on the road this year and the Rangers have won each of Harrison’s last 4 starts. We’ll take Texas on the money line. -Jeff Alexander (Handicapperspicks.com)

MLB Picks for July 19th 2011: Bet The Milwaukee Brewers And The Over

MLB Picks: July 19th 2011
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MLB Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -119
Few starters have had as much success against the Arizona Diamondbacks as Yovani Gallardo. The Milwaukee Brewers are looking to bounce back from a shutout loss to Arizona last night, and Gallardo is just the man to help them do it. Gallardo is 4-0 with a 1.13 ERA and 0.958 WHIP in four lifetime starts versus Arizona. He held them to 1 run and 5 base runners in 7 innings of a 3-1 victory over the Diamondbacks on 7/6/2011, his lone starts against them this season. Barry Enright is 1-3 with a 6.49 ERA and 1.673 WHIP in six starts this season for Arizona. He is no match for Gallardo in this one, and should be a much bigger underdog tonight. Arizona is 1-9 (-9.3 Units) against the money line with a well rested bullpen – threw 4 innings or less over last 3 games over the last 2 seasons, losing in this spot by 4.2 runs/game. The Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite. Milwaukee is 7-1 in Gallardo’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Brewers are 13-5 in Gallardo’s last 18 starts as a favorite. The Diamondbacks are 1-9 in Enright’s last 10 starts as an underdog. Take the Brewers on the Money Line. -Black Widow

MLB Pick: Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Over 9
This is about as easy as it gets when it comes to totals. The offenses already have the advantage playing at Chase Field, but both starting pitchers figure to make sure there are plenty of runs scored tonight. Milwaukee will start Yovani Gallardo, who may be 10-6 on the year, but he is just 3-5 with a 5.02 ERA and 1.570 WHIP on the road. Arizona will counter with Barry Enright, who has a 6.26 ERA and 1.522 WHIP at home. -Steve Janus

MLB Pick: Texas Rangers -130
Play on Texas at 10:05 ET. The Rangers have won 11 in a row and come into tonight’s game leading the Angels by four games in the AL West. They are allowing less than two runs per game their last seven games and overall have allowed just 24 runs during the 11-game win streak. The offense, meanwhile, is averaging 6.5 rpg. The pitching matchup of Ogando vs. Chatwood definitely favors the visitors. The Angels are just 3-7 at home when Chatwood starts while Texas is as a favorite of -125 to -175 when Ogando starts. 10* on Texas. -Tom Freese (Handicapperspicks.com)

MLB Baseball Picks for July 7th 2011: Bet The Rangers, Reds And Red Sox

MLB Baseball Picks: July 7th 2011
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Pick: Texas Rangers -131
On Thursday the free Play is on the Texas Rangers. Game 928 at 8:05 eastern. Texas fits a nice system that has cashed 16 of 20 and plays on home favorites off a home favored win by 5 or more runs and scored 10 or more runs vs an opponent off a home favored win. Texas has been scoring in bunches, averaging over 7 runs per game the past week. In home games they average 5.7 runs per game compared to Oakland which averages 3.2 runs on .224 hitting. Oakland is 3-6 as a road dog from +125 to +150 and is 0-4 most recently off 1 win. They have Harden making just his 2nd start of the season and is a tough Texas venue. Holland for Texas has pitched well vs Oakland allowing just 3 runs in 18 innings over his 3 starts. Look for Texas to take this one. On Thursday its A trio of Winners led by the AL Central Game of the Year and 2 perfect system plays in the NL Dominator and Perfect system dog play. Jump on and cash big on Thursday. For the free Play Take Texas. -Rob Vinciletti

Pick: Cincinnati Reds +106
Play on Cincinnati at 8:10 ET. I like the Reds in this matchup at the Brewers. Cincy has done quite well vs. Milwaukee already this year, taking 7 of 9 games head to head (26-12 L38) and tonight’s pitching matchup is favorable to the visitors. The Reds are averaging 5.8 runs per game vs. lefties this year and will be facing southpaw Chris Narveson, who has an 0-4 TSR and 8.15 ERA in four career starts vs. Cincinnati. Narveson has not exactly been sharp of late either with a 6.50 ERA his last three starts overall. The Reds are 18-12 as underdogs this season. They start Homer Bailey, who in seven starts has a 34-8 KW ratio. 10* on Cincinnati (w/ Bailey). -Tom Freese

Pick: Boston Red Sox -153
Orioles RHP Jake Arrieta has given up 11 earned runs in his last 16 2/3 innings of work against Atlanta, Toronto and Pittsburgh. Now the youngster has the difficult task of facing a frustrated Boston unit looking to catch the hot Yankees in the American League east. Although the Orioles are improved over last year, they are out classed in the east with the Yankees, Sox, Rays and Jays as their division combatants. The Sox have won 39 of 52 in Boston versus the O’s, while hitting five straight on Thursday’s. With the Orioles 2-8 in this underdog price range, I’ll take a ticket with the Red Sox tonight. -Brad Diamond (Handicapperspicks.com)

3 MLB Picks To Wager On June 29th 2011: Cardinals, Twins And Rangers

MLB Picks: June 29th 2011
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Pick: St. Louis Cardinals -121
I’ll back the St. LouiS Cardinals Wednesday showing solid value as a small road favorite over the Baltimore Orioles. They have the clear edge on the mound with Ace Chris Carpenter over fill-in starter Chris Jakubauskas. Carpenter sports a 4.26 ERA and 1.353 WHIP on the season, while Jakubauskas has posted a 5.18 ERA and 1.636 WHIP on the year. St. Louis has played their best baseball away from home this season. The Cardinals are hitting .277 and scoring 5.3 RPG on the road in 2011. Baltimore is 1-8 in home games after scoring 2 runs or less this season. The Cardinals are 9-2 in their last 11 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter. St. Louis is 38-15 in Carpenter’s last 53 starts with 5 days of rest. The Orioles are 8-22 in their last 30 vs. a team with a winning record. Roll with St. Louis Wednesday. -Jack Jones

Pick: Minnesota Twins -136
Minnesota is 47-16 last 3 years as a home favorite of -125 to -150. Rubby De La Rosa has a 6.10 ERA in all starts this year and is 1-2 with a 7.47 ERA his last 3 starts. Scott Baker is 5-5 with a 3.39 ERA overall this year, 2-1 with a 2.70 ERA at home this season and 2-1 with a 1.90 ERA his last 3 starts. Dodgers are 13-40 in their last 53 interleague road games. Dodgers are 11-41 in their last 52 interleague games as an underdog. Twins are 41-16 in their last 57 interleague games as a favorite. We’ll recommend a small play on Minnesota today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky Atkinson

Pick: Texas Rangers -138
The defending AL champs have owned their in-state interleague rivals. Going back to 2009, the Rangers are 13-3 against the Astros, including a perfect 7-0 in Houston. The Astros are just 16-35 in their last 51 overall and 6-20 in their last 26 home games. The Stros will have a tough time putting an end to these woes with Brett Myers stepping to the mound. He’s carrying an ERA of 5.56 at home this season and the Astros are 0-6 in his last 6 home starts. The Rangers are in better hands with Colby Lewis, who is carrying an ERA of 3.19 through eight road starts. We’ll take the Rangers. -Jimmy Boyd (Handicapperspicks.com)

MLB Picks for June 21st 2011: Wager On The Rangers, Giants And Angels

MLB Picks: June 21st 2011
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Pick: Texas Rangers -1.5 -109
The Rangers have completely dominated the Astros in recent years. Yesterday’s 8-3 victory was the 11th win for Texas in the last 13 meetings. Three straight and 8 of 11 wins during this span have come by at least 2 runs. Look for Texas to continue its dominance over Houston with another comfortable victory tonight. The Rangers definitely have the edge on the hill with C.J. Wilson, who’s 15-4 with a 3.62 ERA at home over the past two seasons. He’s really been sizzling lately, going 2-0 with an ERA of 1.99 over his last 3 starts. The same can’t be said about Houston starter Jordan Lyles, who’s 0-2 with a 5.06 ERA in his last 3 starts. In addition, plays against road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 with a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR’s/start, provided they are up against an AL opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season, are 119-24 since 1997. Teams fitting into this situation are losing by an average of 2.6 runs/game. Take Texas on the run line. -Jimmy Boyd

Pick: San Francisco Giants -147
So how impressive is this run by the Minnesota Twins? Well, let’s see what they do on the road against the defending champs. 4 of Minnesota’s victories during that win streak were by 1 run and they were all at home. Starter Carl Pavano is 1-4 on the road with a 5.58 ERA with opponents hitting over .300. The Twins are 4-9 in Pavano’s last 13 road starts. San Fran lefty Madison Bumgarner may have a 3-8 record, but the kid has pitcher great with a 3.21 ERA and just 1.80 over his last three starts. And the Giants are 14-3 in their last 17 interleague home games. Play the Giants! -Jim Feist

Pick: Los Angeles Angels -130
LA Angels are 38-22 last 3 years on the road when the total is 8 to 8 1/2. LA Angels are 30-13 last 3 years in interleague play. Florida is 13-35 last 3 years and 2-8 this year as a home underdog of +100 to +125. Florida is 2-13 this year after 3 or more consecutive losses. Florida has now lost 11 games in a row. Javier Vazquez is 3-7 with a 6.85 ERA overall this year, 1-5 with an 8.23 ERA at home this season and 0-3 with a 10.66 ERA his last 3 starts. We’ll recommend a small play on the LA Angels tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky Atkinson (Handicapperspicks.com)