MLB Picks for May 16th 2011: Bet On The Atlanta Braves And Colorado Rockies

May 16, 2011 By

MLB PICKS MAY 16TH 2011MLB Picks: May 16th 2011
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Pick: Atlanta Braves -224
At 7:10 pm, our complimentary selection is on the Atlanta Braves over the Houston Astros. When things have gone well for veteran righthander Brett Myers in his career, they have gone very well, but when things have gone bad for him, they’ve gone very, very bad. It seems to be feast or famine for Myers with very little middle ground and such is the case in the first six weeks of this season. After having a very successful first season in Houston in 2010, Myers continued his solid run in an Astros uniform in his first four starts of 2011, putting up a 2.39 ERA although he only won a single start in April. But the wheels have completely fallen off in his last four starts, as Myers has gone 0-3 with an ERA around eight-and-a-half runs and he’s walked 10 batters in his last three outings. And it doesn’t get any easier for him having to head to Atlanta tonight, where the Astros are just 6-15 in their last 21 meetings and with his lineup having to face a very tough customer in righthander Tommy Hanson. Hanson is near-perfect in three career starts vs. the ‘Stros, going 1-0 with a 0.78 ERA while allowing just 11 hits and two walks in 23 innings against them. Atlanta just handled the Phillies and Roy Halladay on Sunday, so chances are the Braves can handle the Astros tonight. Take Atlanta. As always, good luck…Al McMordie. Be sure to visit our premium picks page above to purchase Big Al McMordie’s expert MLB baseball predictions for May 16th 2011. Don’t miss out on another hot streak from our professional sports handicappers.

Pick: Colorado Rockies +137
I am backing the Colorado Rockies Monday as a home underdog to the San Francisco Giants. Rarely will you get the Rockies as a home dog, so I’ll take full advantage tonight. Clayton Mortensen is scheduled to make his second start for the Rockies. His other start came at San Francisco on May 7 when he allowed one earned run in six innings of a 3-2 loss. Mortensen has posted a 0.55 ERA and 0.798 WHIP on the season while allowing just 1 earned run and 13 base runners in 16 1/3 innings. I know he’s up against Tim Lincecum tonight, but Mortensen and the Rockies are clearly undervalued here. Colorado has revenge in mind after getting swept in San Francisco earlier this month. The Rockies are 93-67 in home games with triple revenge – 3 straight losses against opponent since 1997. Colorado is 36-16 in their last 52 home games vs. a team with a winning record. The Rockies are exactly .500 at 149-149 as a home underdog of +100 or higher since 1997. Great value here. Bet the Rockies Monday. -Jack Jones (Handicapperspicks.com)

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MLB Picks for April 5th 2011: The Dodgers And Padres Look Like Solid Wagers

April 5, 2011 By

MLB Picks: April 5th 2011
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Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -102
Colorado opened the season by splitting its first two games against Arizona before a Sunday postponement and a Monday off-day and those two days could affect the Rockies such as timing and overall chemistry. Colorado is expected to contend in the National League West along with the Dodgers and Giants and while playing at home is always an advantage, the Rockies are at the wrong end of it tonight. Going back to last season, the Rockies are 2-10 in their last 12 divisional games. Los Angeles took three of four games against reigning World Series Champions San Francisco and did so against one of the best rotations in the league. The Dodgers were shut out against Matt Cain but managed 13 runs in the other three games and likely will not need a big offensive output tonight with their ace on the hill. They struggled on the road last season and while Colorado had one of the best home field records, Los Angeles comes in with an 11-4 record the last 15 meetings in Colorado. Clayton Kershaw will be making his second start this season and his first outing showed why he is quietly becoming part of the Cy Young talk. He shut out the Giants for seven inning, allowing just four hits and one walk while striking out nine and outpitching Tim Lincecum. He posted a 2.91 ERA last season and he was better on the road, putting up a 2.43 ERA in 15 starts away from home. The Dodgers have won his last six starts against Colorado as well as going 14-3 in his last 17 starts against the National League West. Colorado counters with Jhoulys Chacin who had a great rookie season with a 3.28 ERA in 21 starts and seven relief appearances but he went only 9-11. Like Kershaw, his best work came on the road where he posted a 2.44 ERA over 62.2 innings compared to a 3.98 ERA in 74.2 innings at Coors Field. Only three of his six starts against the Dodgers last season were quality performances including just one of three at home where the Rockies went 1-2 in those three games. 3* (965) Los Angeles Dodgers. -Matt Fargo

Pick: San Diego Padres +121
At 6:35 pm, our complimentary selection is on the San Diego Padres over the San Francisco Giants. The defending World Champion Giants are expecting big things from young southpaw Madison Bumgarner this season. Bumgarner helped the Giants win their first Championship since relocating to the west coast and this year he is firmly planted in their talented rotation and barring injury he should see 30+ starts for San Francisco. But as great as the Giants season was in 2010, they struggled against San Diego, going just 6-12 in their 18 meetings, and early on they couldn’t crack this team, losing their first seven meetings against the Padres, including four straight here at Petco Park. Veteran Aaron Harang has departed the hitters haven that is Cincinnati for what he hopes will be a more pitcher-friendly home in southern California and it just so happens that the 32-year-old righthander was born and raised in San Diego, so his debut here tonight is especially important to himself and his team. If Harang’s Spring training campaign is any indication, he is ready to put the last three seasons behind him and return to the form of 2006 and 2007 when the hard-thrower won 16 games with an ERA around 3.7 runs and was one of the most dominant strikeout pitchers in the league. Take the Padres. As always, good luck…Al McMordie. (Handicapperspicks.com)

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Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants Pick & Odds: October 21st 2010

October 21, 2010 By

PHILLIES VS. GIANTS PICKThe heat has officially been turned up in baseball betting action for the Philadelphia Phillies. Trailing three games to one in the National League Championship Series, they are going to face three straight do or die games to try to defend their back to back National League pennants. The San Francisco Giants stand in their way, starting in Game 5 on Thursday night.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants
Game Date/Time: Thursday, October 21st, 7:57 ET
Game Location: AT&T Park, San Francisco, CA
TV/Radio Broadcast: Fox, XM

MLB Odds: Philadelphia Phillies (Roy Halladay – R) -120 -1.5 +140 vs. San Francisco Giants (Tim Lincecum – R) +110 +1.5 -160: Over/Under 5.5 o-125 5.5 u+105

In his first ever postseason appearance, Roy Halladay pitched the second ever no hitter in the history of playoff baseball. In his second ever postseason appearance, he looked awfully mortal.

Halladay allowed four runs on eight hits in seven innings of work in the 4-3 loss at home in Game 1 of this series, and he was largely outpitched by Tim Lincecum on the day.

Halladay did fan seven batters along the way and inevitably will get his K’s once again on Thursday, but things just don’t seem quite right for a man that has never beaten the Giants in a baseball betting contest.

For the Giants, they’re living large right now, knowing that they are just one more baseball betting victory away from the Fall Classic, but they certainly don’t want to have to turn around this weekend and play one, if not two games in the City of Brotherly Love once again.

Lincecum has been marvelous in these playoffs for the Giants, as he is 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA in spite of the fact that he has only gotten five runs of support. Against Philly, Lincecum has now won three times in eight starts and has only been beaten once. This year alone in two starts, the righty has 19 strikeouts and has only allowed five runs in 15.1 innings of work.

Lincecum has now gone eight straight starts with allowing three or fewer runs, and he has pitched at least seven frames in all but two of those eight outings.

MLB Insider Tip: The Giants are 6-2 in their L/8 postseason games at home in baseball betting action.

As much as we love Halladay, we just can’t go there on the road. He has already thrown almost 270 innings this season, and his arm has to be showing signs of getting incredibly tired after all of these seasons of hard labor. He has never pitched this deep into a season before and has never been in this type of a do or die situation. There is just no pressure at all for a San Fran team that feels like it is on top of the world right now.

The Giants will use this baseball betting affair on Thursday to bounce the Phils.

My MLB Predictions: San Francisco Giants (Lincecum)
Courtesy of Mike Rose (Betus.com RSS Feed)

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Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants Odds & Prediction: September 1st 2010

September 1, 2010 By

Our Wednesday night MLB predictions take us to AT&T Park where the NL West rival Colorado Rockies and San Francisco Giants will close out their three-game baseball betting set.
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After Colorado stole the series opener by a 2-1 final tally in a fabulous pitching duel, the Giants evened the series up with some late game heroics from the offense to capture the 5-2 victory. The Rockies hold an 8-6 season series advantage and 10 of the 14 games have combined to go ‘under’ the closing number.

This will be the final match-up of the regular season in tonight’s venue between these clubs. The Giants have been one of the better home teams this season capturing baseball betting odds victories in 41 of 68 tries ($459), while ‘under’ bettors have made a modest profit overall (33-29-6). Manager Jim Tracy’s club has been a woeful visitor securing victories in just 26 of 67 overall attempts (-$1649); it has however been a solid ‘under’ bet away from Coors Field (39-26-2).

Colorado Rockies (69-62, -$491) vs. San Francisco Giants (73-60, $595)
Game Date/Time: Wednesday, September 1st, 9:15 ET
Game Location: AT&T Park, San Francisco, CA
TV/Radio Broadcast: FOX – Rocky Mountain, Comcast (Bay), XM

MLB Odds: Colorado Rockies -1.5 +150 -120 (Ubaldo Jimenez – R) vs. San Francisco Giants +1.5 -170 +100 (Tim Lincecum – R): Total 6.5 O -125 6.5 U +105

Though Ubaldo has churned out quality starts in each of his L/6 outings, the potential NL Cy Young Award winner has just two wins to show for it. He failed to pick up the 18 th win of his 2010 campaign his last time out at home against the Dodgers who got to him for nine hits and three ER’s through his seven innings of work. The defeat dropped him to 17-5 overall.

He’ll toe the AT&T Park bump for the second time this season having last tossed a complete game 4-0 shutout there back on May 31 st. The power righty has allowed just 10 ER’s through his L/28 innings of work, and has beaten the Giants twice in his three 2010 starts.

Reigning NL Cy Young Award winner Tim Lincecum has to be ecstatic that the month of August has come to a close. He dropped each of his five outings and posted an unheard of 7.82 ERA in doing so. He enters his 28 th start of the season 11-9 with a rather un-Lincecum-like 3.80 ERA & 1.35 WHIP.

He got shelled by the Diamondbacks his last time out to cost baseball bettors a pretty penny after going off the board as a -180 MLB betting odds favorite. He’s surprisingly had his roughest go at it at home in the pitcher friendly venue where he stands 7-6 with a 4.12 ERA & 1.41 WHIP through 87.1 total IP. San Fran has dropped his pair of starts vs. Colorado this season, and in his career, he’s 5-5 with a 3.79 ERA in 13 overall starts.

MLB Insider Tip : With these clubs separated by just three-games in the NL West standings, the pitching has really stepped to the forefront in this series. That’s normally the case in a playoff atmosphere, and I look for that trend to carry over into tonight’s finale.

I’m not exactly sure what Lincecum’s problem has been, but never underestimate the power of a new month; especially in the game of baseball. I look for him to bring his “A” game tonight but also expect Ubaldo to continue bringing it as well.

Home plate Ump Jerry Layne has been decent for ‘under’ bettors this season with his games playing to the low side of the baseball betting odds ‘total’ 14 of 24 times. With oddsmakers posting this number so low even though Lincecum has been severely struggling, it sounded alarms off for me immediately! Take the plus-money return and look for yet another pitcher’s duel to close out the series.

My MLB Prediction: Colorado/San Francisco Under 6.5 +105 (Jimenez/Lincecum)

Source: BetUS Locker Room Featured on: Handicapperspicks.com

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San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves Betting Odds & Prediction: August 5th 2010

August 5, 2010 By

Our Thursday night MLB predictions take us to Turner Field where a pair of World Series contenders will take the field in the form of the San Francisco Giants and Atlanta Braves; first pitch for tonight’s MLB Network telecast is set for 7:10 ET
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After a brief two-game stop in Colorado, the Giants continue on their six-game road trip to battle the NL East leading Braves. With the split at Coors Field, manager Bruce Bochy’s squad sits three-games over .500 (29-26) as a visitor making MLB bettors a shade under 4400 on the year. The current NL Wild Card leaders trail the division leading Padres by a single game after they once again fell to the Dodgers last night.

As for the Braves, their once 5+ game lead in the division has shrunk to just two-games after managing to win just four of their L/10 games while the Phillies rattled off an 8-2 mark during that same stretch. That said; the Braves 36-14 ($1494) record comes in as the second best mark in the National League as well as all of baseball.

San Francisco Giants (62-46, $1094) vs. Atlanta Braves (61-46, +$728)
Game Date/Time: Thursday, August 5th, 7:10 ET
Game Location: Turner Field, Atlanta, GA
TV/Radio Broadcast: MLB Network, XM

MLB Betting Odds: San Francisco Giants -1.5 +150 -115 (Tim Lincecum – R) vs. Atlanta Braves +1.5 -170 -105 (Jair Jurrjens – R) Total 7 O EVEN 7 U -120

Two-time NL Cy Young Award winner Tim Lincecum gets the call to the bump for the fifth time since the All Star Break this evening. He’s 2-0 with a no decision since having last picked up his 11th win of the season his last time out at home against Los Angeles. He limited the Dodgers to just a pair of ER’s while striking out nine through his seven innings of work. The Giants have won each of his L/5 outings and stand 8-1 the L/9 times he pitched on five-days rest.

What’s been most impressive about the Giants ace this season is the way his team has performed in his road starts. San Francisco stands 9-2 in his 11 road outings where he boasts a 3.14 ERA & 1.27 WHIP. He’s experienced much success throughout his young career vs. the Braves going 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA & 1.11 WHIP in seven lifetime starts.

Jair Jurrjens enters this crucial start off his first loss since returning from the DL at the end of June. Cincinnati got to him for eight hits (1 HR) and five ER’s through his 6.2 IP to hand him his fourth defeat of the baseball betting season. He stands 3-4 on the year with a 4.62 ERA & K/BB ratio of 47/23 through 62.1 total innings of work; the Braves are 6-5 with him leading their charge this season.

Though he’s had a rough go of it on the road (0-4, 7.63 ERA), the righty has been perfect at home going a perfect 3-0 with a 1.71 ERA & 1.17 WHIP through 31.2 total innings pitched. His offense has only scored an average of 3.40 RPG in his five overall home starts, but he’s surrendered just six ER’s in front of the home crowd. He’s 1-2 with a 2.61 ERA in three career starts vs. San Francisco, and the ‘under’ cashed easily in all three outings.

MLB Insider Tip: Runs have been very hard to come by for both the Giants and Braves of late. Save for the 10 run outburst vs. the Rockies on Tuesday night, SF has tallied more than two runs only one other time in their L/6 games played. As for Atlanta, it’s scored an average of just 3.30 RPG their L/10 contests.

With Lincecum and Jurrjens getting the starting nods, runs will certainly be at a premium. The ‘under’ has cashed 14 of the L/20 times the Braves took on a +.500 opponent, and it’s 5-2 in Tim’s seven career starts vs. Atlanta. My MLB predictions call for a solid pitcher’s duel in tonight’s MLB Network telecast!

My MLB Prediction: San Francisco/Atlanta Under (Lincecum/Jurrjens)
Source: BetUS Locker Room Featured on: Handicapperspicks.com

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