New England Patriots vs. Baltimore Ravens
Pick: Under 45 Points
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It is rather surprising that the highest total on the Sunday card comes from the game that features the third ranked defense in the NFL. Obviously a lot of it has to do with the Patriots having the 29th ranked defense but even so, I feel the number is inflated. New England leads the league in scoring offense at 32.8 ppg but a lot of those points have been dumb luck as the total offense is ranked a much more pedestrian 11th, averaging 344.3 ypg. And this is with only two good games. The Patriots have played two games against solid defenses, the Jets and Dolphins and the offense struggled. Against New York, the Patriots managed only 14 points and 291 total yards while against Miami, they finished with 41 points but 21 of those points came by way of the special teams and the defense as the offense mustered only 265 total yards. This is now the best defense that New England has seen and we all saw what happened in the playoffs last season when the Patriots were held to 196 total yards.

The Ravens are even worse on offense as they are tied for 22nd in scoring offense with 18.4 ppg and 19th in total offense at 328.2 ypg. They are playing well on offense at home but the road has been a different story as Baltimore is averaging just 12.3 ppg and 287 ypg. As mentioned, the New England defense has had its problems but a solid game against Miami coupled with the bye week should help. The Patriots will have a new wrinkle or two up front on their defense to slow up the running game. The gameplan for Baltimore is a simple one and that is to keep Tom Brady and the Patriots offense off the field. Offensive coordinator offensive coordinator Cam Cameron will look to control the tempo of the game by utilizing running backs Ray Rice and Willis McGahee who should be called upon early and often.

New England has outrushed three of its four opponents this season and offensively, we can expect the Patriots to look to its running game as well with the departure of Randy Moss. As far as that passing game goes, look for the Patriots to use a lot of slants, short and mid-range throws, screens and tight ends to move the ball down the field. Brady won’t have a lot of time so he won’t be throwing the ball far down field and that helps us here as it takes away the possible big plays on offense and it also eats clock as those throws are completed at a higher percentage. Baltimore has held each of its five opponents to less than 20 points so it knows how to get it done.

Baltimore is 10-1 to the ‘Under’ in its last 11 games against defenses that allow 235 or more passing yards while New England is 11-1 to the ‘Under’ in its last 12 home games following a bye week. This includes a perfect 9-0 to the ‘Under’ with head coach Bill Belichick. 3* Under Baltimore Ravens/New England Patriots

Baltimore vs. New England
Pick: Baltimore Ravens
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Baltimore (4-1) continues to build confidence in their new offensive weapons, WRs Anquan Boldin and T.J. Houshmandzeh, who combined for 4 Touchdown catches over the last 3 games. Last Sunday, the Ravens amassed 415 total offensive yards while scoring 31 points last while beating the Denver Broncos and the recent jolt to the offense has allowed these Ravens to hand Pittsburgh (3-1) and the NY Jets (4-1) their only losses of the season. New England put up 38 and 41 points in their last two games, however, QB Brady and the offense has not accounted for their fair share of the scoring as most of those 79 points came by special teams and defensive scoring. New England hosts this game following their “Bye” week, but we find Head Coach Belichick at a losing 8-11 ATS when playing with a week of rest. With the rust setting in from their “Bye” week, combined with the Ravens’ defense allowing just 14.4 points per game this season, we expect QB Brady to struggle in their return against a Ravens’ squad that’s 8-1 ATS as road Dogs of 3 points or less. -Carlo Campanella

Football betting is our business and the NFL is our specialty here at BetUS Sportsbook. This week’s Monday night marquee match-up determines the NFC East early season leader between the New England Patriots and Miami Dolphins.
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New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins
Game Date/Time: Monday, October 4th, 8:30 ET
Game Location: Dolphin Stadium, Miami, FL
TV/Radio Broadcast: ESPN, Sirius, XM Radio

NFL Football Odds: New England Patriots (-1.5) –110 vs. Miami Dolphins (+1.5) –110: Over/Under 46.5

Two NFC East contenders meet in a marquee Monday night match-up that should draw big ratings and football betting interest. Miami (2-1) is a prime time host for the second straight week after losing 31-23 to the third NFC East contender last Sunday night; the NY Jets.

New England (2-1) rolled up 445 yards offense against the division’s weakest team but allowed the Buffalo Bills awful offense to score 30 points and average 7.1 yards per play.

Despite facing three sub-par offensive teams, the Patriots are struggling on the defensive side. New England ranks no. 27 giving up 379 yards per game while allowing 30, 28 and 24 points. Opponents are averaging 5.9 yards per play and completing over 69% of their passes, despite New England facing sub-par passers Fitzpatrick, Sanchez and Palmer.

In this football betting match-up the Patriots should have a tough time slowing the Dolphins balanced attack with quarterback Chad Henne improving his passing game to compliment Miami’s usually strong ground game and ‘wildcat’ attack.

New England is the NFL’s no. 1 scoring offense this early season, averaging 30 points per game. Quarterback Tom Brady is sporting a high passer rating of 112 with eight touchdown passes. His big play receivers Randy Moss and Wes Welker are now joined by a pair of solid pass-catching tight ends to make New England’s passing attack even more potent.

Miami’s offensive output should improve in this football betting contest after gaining 436 yards and 6.2 yards per play last week against the strong Jets defense. The Dolphins match-up well here and Chad Henne will likely come out throwing more after Miami’s coaches gave him the green light last week. Henne responded well with over 350 yards passing and 8.2 yards per pass attempt.

The Patriots don’t have a capable defensive back to cover Brandon Marshall, and the big receiver should shine with a national football betting audience expecting big numbers again after Marshall caught 10 passes for over 160 yards and a touchdown last week.

NFL Insider Tip: The ‘over’ is 7-1-1 in Miami’s last nine home games. The Patriots and Dolphins combined for 766 and 864 yards offense in their two meetings last season.

Miami has a solid shot as ‘Dog with the better defense at home, but the best football betting play looks to be the total with plenty of yards and scoring expected.

My Monday Night Over-Under Pick: New England Patriots/Miami Dolphins ‘Over’ 46.5

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BetUS Sportsbook is back with another fantastic football betting line analysis in the Week 4 NFL preseason duel between the New England Patriots and the New York Giants from New Meadowlands Stadium.
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New England Patriots vs. New York Giants
Game Date/Time: Thursday, September 2nd, 7:00 ET
Game Location: New Meadowlands Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
TV/Radio Broadcast: Local TV, Westwood One, Sirius

NFL Football Odds: New England Patriots (+3) -105 vs. New York Giants (+3) -115: Over/Under 37.5

Even though the Patriots have scored the third most points in the NFL this preseason, don’t expect them to be going all out to improve upon those numbers this weekend. Tom Brady played into the fourth quarter of last week’s mildly surprising 36-35 loss to the St. Louis Rams, and Bill Belichick has to be thrilled about the fact that his offense is operating so well.

That being said, expect to see some more out of backup Brian Hoyer. Hoyer has only completed 54.8 percent of his passes for 205 yards in the preseason, but he has thrown two TD passes without chucking a pick.

He would be helped out dramatically by his defense if the unit could hold the Giants to less than its averages so far in the summer. New England is allowing 344.3 yards and 23.3 points per game thus far through three bouts against the football game line.

No team has done a worse job defensively this preseason though, than the Giants. New York is allowing a whopping 387.3 yards per game, a league worst 281 of which have come through the air. This is terrible news for both the front four, which is getting minimal pressure on opposing QBs, and the secondary, which is clearly just getting abused.

The offense might see Eli Manning for a bit more than the average starting quarterback in the fourth game of the preseason, as he has only thrown 26 passes thus far, completing just 13 of them. It will be interesting to see whether Victor Cruz gets more reps after his stellar exhibition campaign in which he has accounted for a dozen catches, 251 yards, and all four of the team’s receiving touchdowns.

The Giants have only forced three turnovers in as many games in the preseason, which is why their defensive stats look so dismal.

NFL Insider Tip: Dating back to last year, the G-Men are only 3-6 SU and ATS in their L/9 games overall.

New York is probably just a wee too inconsistent to back in this game. Grabbing points in the preseason is always a good idea, especially when you really don’t have much of a clue about what either head coach is thinking in terms of quarterback rotation.

Odds have it, New England is going to lead you to victory on the football game line.

My NFL Predictions: New England Patriots (+3) -105

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The 2010 NFL betting campaign is just around the corner! But before the 32 teams start their quest for the Lombardi Trophy, there is plenty of analysis to be done. Check out our NFL betting preview of the AFC East teams for the run towards Super Bowl XLV.
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New England Patriots (+130 odds) – Once upon a time, the Patriots felt like the prohibitive favorites to win the AFC East every single season. That just doesn’t seem to be the case anymore, as the Jets are hot on their tails. However, the more things change, the more they seem to stay the same. WR Randy Moss is still one of the most feared receivers in the league and QB Tom Brady is going to throw for just as many yards and touchdowns as any other signal caller in the game, provided he stays healthy. How could we really pick against this team with all of that in consideration?
My NFL Predictions: 11-5, 1st place in AFC East

New York Jets (+140 odds) – Objects in your rear view mirror might be closer than they appear. The Jets didn’t exactly sneak up on anyone last season, as first year HC Rex Ryan told everyone exactly what he was going to do. He was going to run the heck out of the football, blitz your quarterback regardless of the situation, and try to smack you in the mouth. Mission accomplished. New York nearly missed the playoffs, but ultimately ended up one bad half of football away from the Super Bowl. The bad news now is that everyone has a year of tape on the Jets to watch. The good news is that WR Santonio Holmes, RB LaDainian Tomlinson, and DB Antonio Cromartie are now in the fold. The better news is that QB Mark Sanchez has a year of experience under his belt. Worst news of all – The Jets don’t possess the pansy schedule they struggled with a year ago.
My NFL Predictions: 9-7, 2nd place in AFC East

Miami Dolphins (+325 odds) – The Fins were the subject of some bad luck last year, as they ultimately ended up losing both QB Chad Pennington and RB Ronnie Brown for the season before they really had a chance to make a push at the playoffs. Still, with two games left in the season, they knew they controlled their own destiny, and though they failed, the Dolphins should still hold their heads high. We don’t believe that QB Chad Henne is ready to lead a team to the Promised Land, though.
My NFL Predictions: 7-9, 3rd place in AFC East

Buffalo Bills (+2500 odds) – Could the Bills be the worst team in football this year? New HC Chan Gailey really doesn’t have a heck of a lot to work with, especially at the quarterback position. Trent Edwards, Ryan Fitzpatrick, and Brian Brohm together probably don’t even equal Henne, let alone Brady. Yes, drafting RB CJ Spiller was nice, but it’s certainly not nice enough to salvage a team that probably plays the hardest last place schedule in football.
My NFL Predictions: 3-13, 4th place in AFC East

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The Dallas Cowboys are coming off of a division title and the first playoff win of the QB Tony Romo era in 2009. However, for owner Jerry Jones, nothing less than a Super Bowl will be considered a success. Check out how we feel the Boys are going to do in 2010-11 NFL betting action.
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1: Is Romo really ready to become an elite NFL quarterback? It feels like we ask this question every single season. Though Romo threw for just short of 4,500 yards a year ago and could be in for more this year, we just don’t buy that he is anywhere near the level of Peyton Manning, Drew Brees, Tom Brady, and Philip Rivers. Win some playoff games, kid. The truly elite quarterbacks don’t throw for just 198 yards and a pick in a 34-3 loss to crash out of the playoffs like Romo did last year against the Minnesota Vikings.

2: Will trading up for WR Dez Bryant pay dividends? Many think that Romo’s problem in “Big D” has been a lack of big play receivers. That’s why the squad went out and traded for Roy Williams two years ago, and that’s why it was a shock to see WR Miles Austin look phenomenal last year. Dallas decided that it needed to go back to the well once again in search for that elusive elite receiver, and it did so by trading up in the draft to snare Bryant. It isn’t a numbers game for Bryant, as he was suspended for the majority of his final season at Oklahoma State. However, no receiver in the land was bigger, more imposing, and showed more ability to go get the ball than Bryant did when he was on the field. This should be a real asset for Tony Romo if Bryant can stay out of trouble.

3: Will Dallas duplicate its #2 ranked defense? Probably not. The Cowboys are a decent defensive team, but they were in over their head last year by holding teams to just 15.6 PPG. This is also a unit that allowed 225.4 YPG through the air, and that’s saying something considering the fact that LB DeMarcus Ware had 11 sacks and the team was known for crushing opposing passers.

4: Is Wade Phillips a sitting duck yet? In all likelihood, regardless of whether the team wins the Super Bowl or not, Phillips is bound to go eventually. OC Jason Garrett is waiting in the wings, and should Dallas slip just one bit, chaos in the locker room could ensue.

5: Bottom Line: How many games will the Dallas Cowboys win in 2010? This is the most important question that we will ask for all of the teams in the league. The Cowboys have an NFL betting line of 10 wins to beat at BetUS Sportsbook, and we think that they will top that number. Romo and the offense are going to be lethal this year, and a dozen wins isn’t out of the question. Bryant makes a huge difference, as Dallas could have four 1,000-yard caliber receivers at its disposal. The defense should be good enough, even if it allows closer to 20 PPG to win 12 games in the rough and tumble NFC East.

Source: BetUS Locker Room 2010 Dallas Cowboys Predictions Featured on: Handicapperspicks.com