MLB Baseball Picks: July 7th 2011
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Pick: Texas Rangers -131
On Thursday the free Play is on the Texas Rangers. Game 928 at 8:05 eastern. Texas fits a nice system that has cashed 16 of 20 and plays on home favorites off a home favored win by 5 or more runs and scored 10 or more runs vs an opponent off a home favored win. Texas has been scoring in bunches, averaging over 7 runs per game the past week. In home games they average 5.7 runs per game compared to Oakland which averages 3.2 runs on .224 hitting. Oakland is 3-6 as a road dog from +125 to +150 and is 0-4 most recently off 1 win. They have Harden making just his 2nd start of the season and is a tough Texas venue. Holland for Texas has pitched well vs Oakland allowing just 3 runs in 18 innings over his 3 starts. Look for Texas to take this one. On Thursday its A trio of Winners led by the AL Central Game of the Year and 2 perfect system plays in the NL Dominator and Perfect system dog play. Jump on and cash big on Thursday. For the free Play Take Texas. -Rob Vinciletti

Pick: Cincinnati Reds +106
Play on Cincinnati at 8:10 ET. I like the Reds in this matchup at the Brewers. Cincy has done quite well vs. Milwaukee already this year, taking 7 of 9 games head to head (26-12 L38) and tonight’s pitching matchup is favorable to the visitors. The Reds are averaging 5.8 runs per game vs. lefties this year and will be facing southpaw Chris Narveson, who has an 0-4 TSR and 8.15 ERA in four career starts vs. Cincinnati. Narveson has not exactly been sharp of late either with a 6.50 ERA his last three starts overall. The Reds are 18-12 as underdogs this season. They start Homer Bailey, who in seven starts has a 34-8 KW ratio. 10* on Cincinnati (w/ Bailey). -Tom Freese

Pick: Boston Red Sox -153
Orioles RHP Jake Arrieta has given up 11 earned runs in his last 16 2/3 innings of work against Atlanta, Toronto and Pittsburgh. Now the youngster has the difficult task of facing a frustrated Boston unit looking to catch the hot Yankees in the American League east. Although the Orioles are improved over last year, they are out classed in the east with the Yankees, Sox, Rays and Jays as their division combatants. The Sox have won 39 of 52 in Boston versus the O’s, while hitting five straight on Thursday’s. With the Orioles 2-8 in this underdog price range, I’ll take a ticket with the Red Sox tonight. -Brad Diamond (Handicapperspicks.com)

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Chicago Bulls
Free Pick: Milwaukee Bucks +6.5 (Jimmy Boyd)
I know the Bucks will be Andrew Bogut for the rest of the season, but I think odds makers have over figured his absence into this line. Milwaukee will be extremely motivated tonight as it can clinch a postseason berth with a win. The Bulls will be motivated to win as well, as they are trying to play their way into the No. 8 seed. With this in mind, I expect another down to the wire game from these two teams. The first three meetings this season have all been decided by 3 or fewer points. The Bucks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Milwaukee is also 16-4 ATS versus poor defensive teams allowing 99 or more points per game, 2nd half of the season this season, winning in these spots by an average score of 102.7 to 95.5. Not having Bogut in the playoffs will prove costly, but I expect the Bucks to rally in his absence and take the Bulls right down to the wire tonight. Bet the Bucks.

San Antonio Spurs vs. Sacramento Kings
Free Pick: San Antonio Spurs -6 (Tom Freese)
Sacramento is just playing out the string. Tyreke Evans score 20 points a game. Beno Udrih scores 12.9 points a game Center Jason Thompson scores 12.5 points and 8.3 rebounds a game. The Kings score 99.8 points a game and they allow 104.2 points a game. Sacramento is 0-6 ATS their last 6 games as home dogs and they are 2-9-1 ATS when playing with two days of rest. San Antonio is led in scoring by Center Tim Duncan and his 18.1 points and 10.8 rebounds a game. Guard Manu Ginobili scores 16.6 points a game George Hill is filling in for the injured Tony Parker. Richard Jefferson scores 12.3 points a game. The Spurs 101.2 points a game and they allow 96 points a game. San Antonio is 10-1 ATS after scoring 100 or more points in their last game and they are 9-1 ATS their last 10 games vs. Western Conference teams. PLAY ON SAN ANTONIO

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Dayton vs. Xavier
Free Pick: Xavier -2.5 (March 12th 2010 – Rob Vinciletti)
On Friday the Free play is on Xavier. Game 838 at 6:30 eastern. The Musketeers have some solid angles poiting to them in this game. They are 9-1 with revenge for a road loss, including 3-0 since 1997 for a loss of 20 or more. In the last 10 games vs winning teams they have won 8 times. They are 21-2 as a favorite this year and 12-3 with rest of 5 or 6 days. The past few seasons they have delivered as a short neutral court favorite, going 4-0 straight up and against the spread at -3 or less. Dayton is just 1-5 vs high scoring teams who average more than 76 points per game and have lost 6 of 7 times as an underdog this year. Xavier, a solid take tonight. On the Friday card I have a rare 6 unit 31-4 NBA Dominator system + a 98% cutting edge conference tournament TV Blowout system, that leads a solid card. The Big 12 game cashed with Kansas St and the XX-Large play cashed with Northwestern on Thursday. More damage on Friday. For the free play on Friday take Xavier. RV

UCLA vs. California
Free Pick: California -8 (March 12th 2010 – Tom Freese)
UCLA is 15-17 this year. Guard Michael Roll scores 13.6 points a game. Guard Malcom Lee is 12.3 points a a game. Forward Nikola Dragovic scores 12 points a game. Center Drew Gordon scores 11.2 points a game. Forward Reeves Nelson scores 11 points a game. The Bruins score 66.4 points a game. UCLA is 2-10 ATS off an ATS win and they are 2-6 their last 8 neutral site games. California is 21-9 this year. Guard Jerome Randall scores 18.7 points a game while shooting 40.7% from behind the arc. Guard Patrick Christopher scores 16 points a game. Forward Jamal Boykin scores 11.7 points a game. The Golden Bears score 77.4 points a game and they shoot 74.8% from the foul line. California is 5-0 ATS their last 5 games overall and they are 4-0 ATS off a straight up win. PLAY ON CALIFORNIA - BKDX3TTKE8PG

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Toronto Raptors vs. Sacramento Kings
Free Pick: Sacramento Kings +1.5 (March 10th 2010 – Jimmy Boyd)
The Raptors have struggled on the road all season, winning just 10 of 30 games, and I expect those struggles to continue tonight. It will be extremely difficult for Toronto to get up for this one after getting its heart ripped out by Kobe Bryant and the Lakers last night. When the Raptors have been tired, they have been pure fade material. In fact, Toronto is 3-11 ATS when playing on back-to-back days this season, losing in these spots by an average score of 100.4 to 109.6. Toronto is also just 4-14 ATS when playing its 3rd game in 4 days this season, losing in these spots by an average score of 104.3 to 110.9. The home team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings and the Kings enter having covered the spread in 6 of their last 7. We’ll side with Sacramento.

Rice vs. Tulsa
Free Pick: Tulsa -14 (March 10th 2010 – Tom Freese)
Rice is 8-22 overall and 1-15 in League Play. Guard Tamir Jackson scores 10.7 points a game. Forward Arsalan Kazemi scores 10.4 points and 9 rebounds a game. Guard Connor Frizzelle scores 9.2 points a game. Center Trey Stanton scores 9 points a game. The Owls score 64 points a game. Rice is 2-5 ATS their last 7 Wednesday games and they are 1-5 ATS their last 6 mettings with the Hurricanes. Tulsa is 21-10 overall and 10-6 in League Play. Guard Ben Uzuh scores 15.4 points a game. Center Jerome Jordan scores 15.1 points and 8.7 rebounds a game. Guard Justin Hurtt scores 13.9 points a game while shooting 38.5% from behind the arc. The Golden Hurricanes score 71.4 points a game. Tulsa is 13-5 ATS their last 18 games vs. a team with win percentage of under 40%! PLAY ON TULSA -

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Colorado State vs. San Diego State
Free Pick: San Diego State -14 (March 3rd 2010 – Tom Freese)
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Colorado is 15-13 overall and they are 6-8 in League Play. Guard Dorian Green scores 12.4 points a game. Forward Andy Ogide scores 11.7 points and 6.5 rebounds a game. Forward Travis Franklin scores 10.6 points a game. No other players score more than 8.6 points a game. The Rams score just 66.4 points a game while shooting just 68% from the foul line. The Rams are 3-7 ATS their last 10 road games and they are 1-6 ATS their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning record. San Diego St is 20-8 overall and they are 9-5 in Conference Play. Forward Kawii Leonard scores 12.4 points and 9.5 rebounds a game. Forward Malcolm Thomas scores 10.9 points a game while shooting 40% from behind the arc. Forward Billy White scores 10.5 points a game. Guard D.J Gay scores 10.4 points a game. The Aztecs score 71.5 points a game and they shoot 47% from the floor. San Diego St is 11-4 ATS their last 15 games as home favorites and they are 6-2 ATS their last 8 games overall. PLAY ON SAN DIEGO ST -

Minnesota vs. Michigan
Free Pick: Minnesota Pk (March 2nd 2010 – Tom Freese)
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Michigan is 13-15 overall and they are 6-10 in League Play. Guard Manny Harris scores 18.1 points and 6.3 rebounds a game. Forward Deshawn Sims scores 16.9 points and 7.8 rebounds. No other player on the team scores more than more than 7.5 points a game. The Wolverines score 64 points a game and they shoot just 41% from the floor. Michigan is 2-5 ATS their 7 Big 10 games and they are 1-5 ATS on Tuesday. Minnesota is 17-11 overall and 8-8 in League Play. Guard Lawrence Westbrook scores 13 points a game while shooting 42% from behind the arc. Forward Blake Huffarber scores 11 points a game. Forward Damion Johnson scores 10.2 points a game. Guard Devoe Joseph scores 8.8 points a game and Ralph Sampson scores 8.7 points a game. The Golden Gophers score 73.5 points a game and they shoot 47% from the floor. Minnesota is 4-0 ATS their last 4 Big 10 games and they are 7-3 ATS off an ATS win. PLAY ON MINNESOTA