MLB Picks: August 10th 2011
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Pick: Detroit Tigers +124
For whatever reason oddsmakers continue to overprice Ubaldo Jimenez this season. Jimenez was rocked in his first start for the Indians, giving up five runs in just five innings of work. He is now 6-9 with a 4.64 ERA on the season and 0-1 with a 11.45 ERA in his last three starts. If anyone should be favored in this game, it’s Tigers starter Rick Porcello, who is 6-2 with a 3.65 ERA and 1.261 WHIP in 12 road starts and 2-0 with a 3.10 ERA and 0.935 WHIP in his last three starts. If that isn’t enough to make you back the Tigers on Wednesday, Porcello is 4-0 with a 2.32 ERA in eight starts against the Indians, while Jimenez is 1-2 with a 5.63 ERA in three starts against the Tigers. Porcello is 9-2 vs. AL teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season this season, 10-2 vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season. The Tigers are 20-8 in Porcello’s last 28 starts. BET THE TIGERS! -Steve Janus

Pick: Milwaukee Brewers +122
Having won 12 of 13, the Brewers look to clinch another series over the Cardinals when they play the middle game of their three-game series Wednesday. Milwaukee is 7-3 against St. Louis this season after Tuesday’s 5-3 win in 10 innings, and leads the Cards by four games in the NL Central. The Brewers have not held a division lead this big since 2007. Cardinals RH Jake Westbrook (9-5, 4.83 ERA) vs. Brewers LH Randy Wolf (8-8, 3.61 ERA). Westbrook’s ERA has dropped almost half a run over the last month, as he’s allowed 11 earned runs over his last five starts. TAKE MILWAUKEE PLUS -Bob Wingerter

Pick: Washington Nationals +111
You’re only as good as your next day’s starting pitcher! For the Cubs, that’s not good news with washed up Rodrigo Lopez taking the hill, with a 2-3 record and a 5.17 ERA. He has a 7.80 ERA his last three starts. Lopez gave up six runs and seven hits over just four innings at Pittsburgh on Thursday. He issued a pair of walks and did not record a strikeout. They face lefty Ross Detwiler here, who has a 2.66 ERA for the season and has already beaten the Cubs. The Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and Lopez is 1-3 with a 4.62 ERA against Washington. Play the Nationals. -Jim Feist (Handicapperspicks.com)

MLB Baseball Predictions: July 18th 2011
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Prediction: Dodgers vs. Giants Under 6.5
Both pitchers is solid form. Both bullpens have unreal recent numbers. Last 3 games the Dodgers bullpen has a 1.96 ERA and the Giants a 1.21 ERA in their last 3 games. Vogelsong for the Giants has given up 38 hits in 51 innings of work at home on the YEAR and has just 1.21 ERA there. Unreal numbers. Billingsley for LA has under a 3 ERA on the road this year and he has been stellar in his last 3 outings. Add all this up, and considering the Giants are 24-9-1 on UNDERS intheir last 34 at home, and this is a 2-1 or 3-2 type ballgame tonight. Hits and runs will be at a Premium tonight in this one! -Tony George

Prediction: Washington Nationals -109
Play on Washington at 8:05 ET. It’s never too tough a decision to go against the Astros, who were 7-5 losers yesterday here at home to Pittsburgh. Houston is now 15-35 at home this season and 17-49 vs. righties. They are 8-31 at home when the total is 8 or 8.5. Nationals starter Jason Marquis has been a solid money maker this season with a 12-6 team start record with many of those wins in the underdog role. 10* Play on Washington (w/ Marquis). -Tom Freese

Prediction: Braves vs. Rockies Under 9.5
The Rockies are 0-14 Under after a loss in which they drew five or more walks and it is the first game of a series for a profit of +1400 when playing the under. Atlanta is 21-48 Under (+23.5 Units) after 3 consecutive games versus a division rival the last 2 seasons. Play tonight’s game Under as a TWO-Star Selection. -Robbie Gainous (Handicapperspicks.com)

MLB Picks: June 9th 2011
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Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -115
Arizona Diamondbacks starter Josh Collmenter is one of the most underrated starters in the big leagues. Collmenter is 4-1 with a ridiculous 1.25 ERA and a miniscule 0.670 WHIP in five starts and seven relief appearances this season. He has allowed only 24 hits, 5 walks and 6 earned runs in 43 1/3 innings in 2011. Look for Collmenter to rise to the occasion Thursday as the Diamondbacks avoid getting swept by the lowly Pittsburgh Pirates. Pittsburgh is only hitting .219 and scoring 3.4 runs/game at home this year, so Collmenter should have no problem mowing down this lineup. The Diamondbacks are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series. The Pirates are 29-63 in their last 92 during game 3 of a series. Pittsburgh is 3-13 in Karstens’ last 16 starts during game 3 of a series. Take the Diamondbacks on the Money Line. -Black Widow

Pick: Oakland Athletics +103
I believe this is where Oakland’s 9-game losing streak comes to an end. Buehrle is still a quality pitcher but his stuff isn’t as good as Cahill’s at this stage of his career. The Oakland ace is 6-3 with an ERA of 2.65 while the Chicago southpaw is 5-4 with an ERA of 3.95. It is worth noting that the Athletics are an impressive 11-2 in Cahill’s last 13 starts versus teams with a losing record and 7-1 in his last 8 road starts versus sub-.500 clubs. Oakland hasn’t hit the ball all that well but has been at its best against lefty starters, batting .254 and scoring 4.2 runs/game against them. In fact, the Athletics are 9-4 in their last 13 road games versus a left-handed starter. There’s a good chance they’ll have Buehrle’s number when you consider that the White Sox are 6-18 in his last 24 starts versus the A’s. Recently, the Sox are 0-4 in his last 4 home starts versus Oakland. We’ll take the A’s. -Jimmy Boyd

Pick: San Diego Padres -119
Washington actually has a winning record at home, but is terrible on the road. Livan Hernandez is 0-5 on the road with a 5.10 ERA and the team has lost 7 straight starts made by him. The Nationals are 2-9 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter and face a very good one in Aaron Harang (6-2, 3.77 ERA). The Padres are 5-1 in Harang’s last 6 starts and the Nationals are 6-22 in the last 28 meetings in San Diego. Play the Padres. -Jim Feist (Handicapperspicks.com)

MLB Picks: May 28th 2011
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Pick: Padres vs. Nationals Over 7
On Saturday the free MLB Totals system Play is on the Over in the Padres at Nationals game. Rotation numbers 903/904 at 1:05 eastern. This game fits a totals system which plays over for home favorites with a total of 8 or less off a 1 run home favored win if they scored 2 or less runs on 5+ hits vs an opponent off a 1 run road loss if they scored 2 or less runs with 4 or less hits and 4 or less men left on base. This system hits at 82% the past few years. The Padres have gone over in 12 of 18 in day games and they score 5 runs per game on the road. Arizona has gone over in 25 of 36 games vs Right handers. They have Zimmerman on the hill and he has gone over in 6 of his 9 starts. For San Diego its Stauffer and he has a terrible 7.02 era over his last 3 starts. Look for this one to go over the total. On Saturday the lead play is the MLB Dog of the Month backed with a big 100% system that wins by an average 4 runs per game. I also have a 15-1 Triple angle afternoon Power Angle Play. Friday top totals play pushed. For the free Play take Over the total in the San Diego at Washington game. -Rob Vinciletti

Pick: Cardinals vs. Rockies over 8.5
After a 3-1 defeat at the hands of San Diego on Wednesday ended a four game winning streak, St Louis went right back to their winning ways with a 10-3 victory over Ubaldo Jimenez. It was a rare offensive night for the Cardinals who have been winning despite some average production with the bats. That wasn’t an issue Friday as there were plenty of offensive stars with seven players posting multi hit games leading to 19 hits overall. Over is 4-0 in Garcias last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record and is 5-0 in Garcias last 5 road starts. Over is 13-3-1 in Rockies last 17 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. TAKE THE OVER -Bob Wingerter

Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -130
The defending champs do their best work at home, but they are a .500 road team, and this is a long road trip. The Giants have a terrible offense, 29th in runs scored, 23rd in slugging, and they are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Brewers have a solid arm in veteran Randy Wolf, who is 9-5 with a 2.86 ERA against the Giants. The Brewers 20-6 in their last 26 home games. Play the Brewers. -Jim Feist

Pick: Los Angeles Angels -144
think the Angels win easy on SAT and the huge pitching mismatch really jumps off the page. Weaver has bounced back to his ACE status last start and seems to be over his illness that had him struggling early in the month. Liriano goes for MIN and he is a pitcher we love to fade as he is so overrated. also going to play the R/L here for 4 star play, but M/L is 4 1/2 star play. -Craig Trapp (Handicapperspicks.com)

MLB Picks: May 27th 2011
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Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -109
I’m not in the habit of fading Tim Lincecum, but I’ll make an exception in this game. The Brewers are rested, have momentum riding 13 wins in their last 16 games and are at home. Milwaukee is a major league-best 19-6 at Miller Park. The Brewers also are throwing a pitcher who is in the argument for best pitcher in the National League this season – Shaun Marcum. Marcum is thriving away from Toronto and the brutal American League East. He’s 6-1 with a 2.37 ERA. Marcum hasn’t lost since his second start of the season, a span of nine games. He’s given up one run or fewer in six of those nine outings. The Giants rank second-to-last in the majors in runs scored. They are 25th in homers, 25th in on-base percentage and 23rd in slugging percentage. And this is before they lost cleanup hitter and star catcher Buster Posey. The shock of losing Posey, who broke his leg in a home plate collision late Wednesday night, still is lingering for the Giants. San Francisco also had to play yesterday, not getting into Milwaukee until late while the Brewers were idle on Thursday. Normally the Giants still would be worthy of respect because of Lincecum. But Lincecum is 2-3 lifetime versus the Brewers with a 4.62 ERA in seven starts. Lincecum also threw 133 pitches, the second-highest total of his career, during his last start this past Saturday against Oakland. Lincecum is 7-10 with a 4.00 ERA following starts in which he threw more than 115 pitches. He’s 54-20 with a 2.50 ERA in all other games. -Stephen Nover

Pick: Washington Nationals -125
On Friday the Free MLB System Play is on the Washington Nationals. Game 954 at 7:05 eastern. Washington fits a nice system here tonight that plays on home teams with a total of 8 or less off a road loss where they scored 4 or less runs and are now taking on an opponent off a home dog win in which they scored 4 or less runs on 5+ hits. Washington has won 5 of 7 off 3 or more losses. The Padres are one of the worst offensive teams in the majors. They are 8-23 in night games and 4-15 off a win. They are averaging a paltry 1.3 runs per game on .163 hitting over their past seven games. They have C. Richard making the start tonight and he has an elevated 7.27 road ERA this season. In his last 2 starts vs Washington he has been mediocre allowing 9 runs in 13 innings. Tonight he opposes Washington lefty J. Lannan. In his career vs the Padres Lannan has a 2.73 ERA. In his home starts this season he has a 2.62 ERA. Based on the system, the angles and Pitching We will back Washington tonight. On Friday the lead play is a Rare 6* MLB Total of the Month backed by a never lost 18-0 Totals system. I also have a 92% Side system and an NHL Game seven Play. Jump on and start Memorial day weekend big. For the free play take Washington. -Rob Vinciletti (Handicapperspicks.com)

MLB Picks: May 20th 2011
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Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -169
Both these teams have “turned it on” recently. After an extended skid, the Twins have managed to win three in a row. The Diamondbacks have also won three straight though and they’ve now won five of six. Playing at home and having a starter in MUCH better current form, I expect them to have the advantage this evening.Duensing goes for the visitors. Last time out, he got rocked for seven runs in just three innings of work. That brings him to 0-3 with a brutal 7.50 ERA and 2.00 WHIP his last three starts. On the other hand, Kennedy is 1-0 with a superb 1.35 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in his last three starts. Last time out, he allowed one run on four hits, through six complete innings. He had 8 K’s with just one walk. In his previous starts, he also had 8 K’s and also allowed just four hits. However, that translated to eight shutout innings. While the Twins are just 11-16 on the road, the Diamondbacks are a respectable 13-10 (+3.4) at home. While the price may initially seem steep, note that the Dbax are 17-6 (+7) the past few seasons, when listed as home favorites in the -150 to -175 range. Consider laying the wood. -Ben Burns

Pick: Baltimore Orioles -145
Today’s Free Play from Doc’s Sports: Take #910 Baltimore Orioles over Washington Nationals (7:05 pm MLB.tv) We like this matchup of Arrieta against Marquis, especially at Camden Yards. Marquis comes in with a slightly lower ERA, but a higher WHIP (walks, hits, per innings pitched). We always love being on the right side of that stat, as it’s much more important to us than ERA. Yankees were hard on Baltimore yesterday and the Orioles lost a heart breaker the night before, so look for them to bounce back against their local rivals. Jump on with us for the weekend, or better yet, the year, because even though this is a strong play, it doesn’t compare to games released on our pay page. You don’t think we’d give away our strongest games do you? If our free plays are doing this well, just imagine what’s going to happen with our pay plays. -Doc’s Sports (Handicapperspicks.com)