NBA Picks: January 30th 2012
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NBA Pick: Orlando Magic +7.5
My money is on the Orlando Magic to snap out of their recent funk and give the 76ers everything they can handle tonight. Orlando is simply too strong of a team to continue to play as bad as they have the last few nights. Two straight 20-point losses tends to be a pretty good wake-up call. Orlando matches up well with the 76ers, as they have won seven of the last eight in the series, including each of the last four in Philadelphia. Not to say the 76ers aren’t a good team, but they are extremely overvalued. Philadelphia has played the easiest schedule of any team in the league. If you look at who they have beat, the best team they have beat is Atlanta. The 76ers really don’t have the size to matchup with Howard inside, and there’s a good chance they will be without starting center Spencer Hawes, who has missed the last seven games with a Achilles injury. Orlando is 26-10-1 ATS in their last 37 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog, and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. BET THE MAGIC! -Steve Janus. Get more NBA picks for January 30th 2012 above on our premium picks page.
NBA Pick: Bulls vs. Wizards Over 189.5
Chicago playing back-to-back here on Monday after a tough loss at Miami on Sunday. While the Bulls trailed the entire game at Miami, they did have a shot to tie the game very late but came up short in the loss to the Heat, 97-93. When we think of the Bulls we usually think low scoring, defensive games. However, this year’s club has been putting some big numbers on the board, scoring over 100 points in four of their last six games and eight times on the season. In fact, the Bulls are 10th in the league in scoring with a 97 ppg average. They are also the best rebounding team in the NBA (45.4 rpg) and still play great defense, ranked 2nd (87 ppg allowed). Meanwhile, the Wizards defense will have its hands full here on Monday. Washington has the 25th worst scoring defense (98.3 ppg) so I fully expect the Bulls to break that century mark again on Monday. I’m a bit surprised we get a low total here around 190. So can the Wizards get 90 or more points? In their last eight games the Wizards have scored over 100 points in four contests and under 90 in just two. I like this game OVER on Monday as the Bulls will look to take out some of Sunday’s frustrations on the Wizards. I’m going OVER between the Bulls and Wizards on Monday. -Jim Feist
NBA Basketball Picks: January 13th 2012
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NBA Basketball Pick: Timberwolves vs. Hornets Under 183
The Minnesota Timberwolves travel to the Big Easy for a meeting against the host Hornets on Friday evening. We do not have an opinion on the side in this contest our attention is drawn to the total with the oddsmakers setting an early number of 183. Our TPR Index projects a much lower score between these two squads. The projection for the total combined score is 177 which gives us decent value with the current number. In the past when these teams got together in the Big Easy the Under was the right call cashing eleven of nineteen times. During the last three seasons, six of seven in New Orleans went Under the posted total. Minnesota has been an Under play this year posting a record of 2-7 to the low side including 0-2 Under when playing away from the Twin Cities. The Timberwolves last five outings have gone Under at a rate of 1-4. The Hornets have trended to the Under with seven of ten games falling below the posted total this season. At home they are 2-3 Under and in their last five games the Under has been the winning side on four of five occasions. Minnesota is 9-22 Under coming off a loss at home in their last game. New Orleans is 7-24 Under after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread. New Orleans is 9-20 Under after playing two consecutive games as an underdog and 1-9 Under after playing 4 consecutive games as an underdog. With significant fundamental support as well as strong technical support we will play the Under in the Big Easy on Friday night. -Robbie Gainous
NBA Basketball Pick: Washington Wizards +13
On Friday the Free NBA System Play is on Washington. Game 805 at 7:05 eastern. See system below analysis. The Wizards fit a tight road system that pertains to road dogs with 1 day of rest that come in off a road dog loss and scored 70 or less with 35% or less shooting, vs an opponent also off a road game. This system has cashed 11 of 12 times the past 17 years. The reason we didn’t unit rate the Wizards was because I wasn’t able to tie any Power Angles into the equation. However for a free play their worth a shot as a these road dogs keep these games very close. The Sixers just had their win streak snapped in New York by the Knicks on Wednesday. I cant see them getting to excited for this one. Look for the Wizards to keep it close in what looks to a classic win and no cover for Philly. On Friday I have a Solid NBA Power System in the Portland at San Antonio game, its the NBA Game of the Week. I also have the Big East Game of the Month backed with 7 Big Power Angles. On Thursday we cashed the 6* NBA Play on Memphis and the NHL Total of the month while taking 2 of 3 in College hoops. Start the weekend Big tonight. Jump on and cash out. For the free play take Washington. Rob Vinciletti. Get more NBA basketball picks for January 13th 2012 from Handicapperspicks.com.
Free Basketball Picks: January 10th 2012
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Pick: Mavericks vs. Pistons Over 182.5
On Tuesday the Free NBA Total system Play is on the Over in the Dallas at Detroit Game. Rotation numbers 507/508 at 7:35 eastern. This game fits a nice totals system that has cashed 13 of 16 times. What we want to do is play the Over for rested road favorites of 5 or more that scored 90 or more as a home favorite of 10 or more and are facing an opponent that scored 80 or less as a road last out. The Mavs are off a home win last out and take on the Pistons who were mauled by the Bulls last night scoring just 68 points. The Pistons have gone over in 10 of their last 11 home games when the total is 180 to 185 and the Mavericks have flown over in 14 of their last 20 vs Central Division teams. In the series 3 of the last 4 have gone over the total. Look for this one to go Over as well. On Tuesday I have 2 Plays in hoops. The Big 12 Game of the Month backed with a solid system and 7 Power Angles and a 100% NBA Power System Side, direct from the database. Jump on now and Cash out on Tuesday. For the Free play take the over in the Dallas at Detroit game. -Rob Vinciletti
Pick: Toronto Raptors +1.5
Toronto has actually been better on the road than at home and the Raptors are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of less than .400. Then there are the winless Wizards. Who wants to back them? The Wizards are 19-39 ATS in their last 58 games as a favorite. Raptors are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Washington and the road team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Play Toronto! -Jim Feist
Pick: Creighton -6.5
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #572 Take Creighton over Northern Iowa (9 pm Local) Normally taking the points is the way to cash in the MVC, but Creighton is far and away the best team in the league and laying under a touchdown is too good to pass up tonight in Omaha. Creighton holds a 27-15 lead in the all-time series with NIU. The teams split the regular season series last year, but Creighton won when the two met in the MVC Tournament. The Bluejays have already lost a home game this season and thus they will not take this game lightly. Northern Iowa has covered just 3 of their last 12 MVC games and this line is low based on their reputation, but they are not as strong as in past years. Creighton is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games. Do not miss Doc’s Sports Super Tuesday card in college basketball, NBA Basketball, and NHL Hockey. Doc’s Sports has been tearing up the books in college basketball and this is a card you cannot afford to miss. Get more free basketball picks from Doc’s Sports each day at Handicapperspicks.com
NBA Picks: January 6th 2012
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NBA Pick: Cleveland Cavaliers +7
The Minnesota Timberwolves are simply getting too much respect from oddsmakers with this line Friday. While they have made some improvements this offseason, it’s not really showing up in the win column. It’s going to take a lot more time for Minnesota to gel as a team with all of the new additions they have. The Timberwolves have opened 2-4 this season despite playing five of their first six games at home. The Cleveland Cavaliers are 3-3 despite having little expectations coming into the year. I like what I’ve seen from the Cavs considering their three wins all came in blowout fashion by double digits. Two of their three losses have been by single-digits. Minnesota is banged up right now with key players like Jose Barea and Brad Miller out with hamstring and knee injuries, respectively. Also, Anthony Tolliver and Nokola Pekovic are each questionable to play tonight. The Timberwolves are definitely thin right now, while the Cavaliers are near full strength. The Timberwolves are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 verus dominant rebounding teams – averaging 53 or more rebounds/game. The Cavaliers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. Cleveland is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5. The Cavs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. Minnesota is 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5. Bet Cleveland Friday. -Jack Jones
NBA Pick: Knicks vs. Wizards Under 200.5
The Wizards are 0-6 mostly because they have struggled to score the basketball. They rank 29th in the league with just 85.2 ppg and have played to the Under in 5 of their first 6 as a result. It is also worth noting that Washington is 16-2 Under in its last 18 games following 4 or more consecutive losses. We have only seen an average of 191.4 total points scored in this situation. Also, the Under is 46-21-1 in the Wizards’ last 68 home games. Bet the Under. -Jeff Alexander
NBA Pick: Indiana Pacers +6
Good teams with a large public following are overvalued often, especially following an impressive win. Boston has won 4 in a row and is coming off a 19-point win last game. Consider that the Celtics are just 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games following a blowout win of 15 points or more. They have actually lost these contests by an average of 1.7 points. Going back further, we find the Celtics are 18-45-1 ATS in their last 64 games following a win of more than 10 points. Indiana, meanwhile, which will be hungry after laying an egg against Miami, is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games following a loss of more than 10 points. We’ll take the Pacers. -Jimmy Boyd. Get more NBA picks for January 6th 2012 from Handicapperspicks.com.
NBA Predictions: March 14th 2011
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Prediction: Golden State Warriors +1.5
This will be the third meeting between these two clubs this season with both games needing overtime to decide the victor. In each case, the Warriors were able to assert their will and take both meetings straight up and against the number. Golden State has dominated this series from a spread prospective going 5-1 ATS the last six meetings including five in a row. The Warriors average 100.4 points per game on the highway this season versus teams that allow just 99.4 points per game. Sacramento averages 97.4 points per game at home versus teams that would normally allow teams to score 99.5 points per game.
On the defensive end of the floor, the Kings allow 100.8 points per game to teams that should only score 99.9 points per contest. It is difficult to consider the Kings with their star Tyreke Evans sidelined with Plantar Fasciitis and key contributors DeMarcus Cousins leg problems and Beno Udrih suffering from an illness that will possibly keep them sidelined as well. The Kings are 2-12 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots per game this season. Sacramento qualifies in several league-wide systems that are active for this contest. Play AGAINST NBA teams who went Over in their last game and are now at home in this price range because they are 9-20 ATS their last 29 games. Play AGAINST NBA teams that were underdogs in their last two games and now installed as a division home favorite, these teams are 33-60-1 ATS. Play AGAINST NBA teams that lost on the road as underdogs in their last two games and are now a division home favorite in this price range, these teams are 7-19-1 ATS. Golden State after going Under as a favorite in their last game and are now in this price range are 14-5 ATS their last 19 contests.
The Warriors are 11-2 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons. The Warriors qualify in a powerful league-wide system that point to an easy victory for them in tonight’s game. Play AGAINST NBA home teams whom average 98 to 102 points per game facing a team that allows 102 or more points per game after two straight games where both squads scored at least one-hundred points. Playing against these home teams has produced a record of 51-19 ATS the last five seasons, 41-15 ATS the last 3 seasons and a blistering 13-3 ATS this season in the last 16 qualifying games. Our TPR Index projects a Warriors win by 4.1 points over the Kings on Monday night. The Math Model also favors the visitor with a positive point differential of 5.72 over the current line of Golden State +1.
The basic power play ratings have the wrong team favored as those numbers show Golden State as a 2.0-point favorite over Sacramento. With solid technical, fundamental and power ratings advantages for the visitor we will back the Golden State Warriors here as a 3-Star Selection. -Robbie Gainous
Prediction: Washington Wizards +8
The Warriors plays the Thunder to a 7-point game on the road earlier this season. They have what it takes to give OKC another game tonight. Having played just 1 game in the last5 days, the Wizards will be very fresh. The Thunder, meanwhile, will be playing their 6th game in 9 days, and I expect them to feel the effects of that here. Laying this many points on the road with OKC has not been a smart move. The Thunder, in fact, are just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Thunder are 4-11-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings in this series and 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings at Washington. Take the points as the much fresher Wizards keep this one closer than the odds makers think. -Jeff Alexander (Handicapperspicks.com)
NBA Picks: March 2nd 2011
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Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder -8
Off three straight losses to three of the best teams in the NBA (Spurs, Magic, Lakers), the Thunder will be ready to take out their frustrations on the Pacers this evening. In addition to its motivational edge, OKC also has the edge in terms of freshness. The Thunder have had two days to gear up for this one while the Pacers just played last night. With this in mind, I can’t fail to mention that the Pacers are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games when playing without a day of rest. It also can’t be ignored that Indiana is 1-8 ATS when matched up against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season, losing to these foes by an average score of 100.7 to 90.1. It is also worth noting that the Pacers are 6-18 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons, losing these contests by an average score of 107.1 to 94.3. We’ll lay the points. -Jimmy boyd
Pick: Portland Trailblazers -3
Sacramento is 15-43 straight up this year. The Kings are 17-37-1 ATS their 55 games as underdogs 0.5 to 4.5 points. The Kings are 2-5 ATS their last 7 games as underdogs. The Kings are 10-29-1 ATS their last 40 games as home underdogs. Portland is 33-27 straight up this year. The Blazers are 25-10-3 ATS their last 38 games as road favorites. The Blazers are 6-0-1 ATS their last 7 road games vs. a team with home win percentage of less than 40%. Portland is 26-11-1 ATS when playing with no rest. The Blazers are 4-0 ATS at Sacramento. PLAY ON PORTLAND -Tom Freese
Pick: Washington Wizards +1
We think Washington gets back in the win column tonight against a Golden State team that has been playing pretty badly on the road, dropping eight of their last 11 games away from home. The Wizards have had a pretty brutal schedule lately and most of their winnable games have been on the road, where they are hopeless. However, this team is decent at home and we just think that they give their best effort tonight against an opponent that they can beat. The Warriors come in on a back-to-back after playing a pretty uninspiring game last night in Indiana. Golden State is not the same offensive team on the road and Washington plays decent defense at home so we just don’t think the Warriors can run away with this one by simply outscoring their opponent. The Wizards have won three of the last four meetings straight up and have covered in four of the last five. -Doc’s Sports (Handicapperspicks.com)