Troy Trojans vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves College Football Pick from Larry Ness: December 2nd 2017

| December 1, 2017

Troy Trojans vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves
College Football Pick: Troy -1 (December 2nd 2017)
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The Trojans come into the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game having won five in a row and nine of their last ten. The Red Wolves come in equally as hot, having won six of seven.

Troy QB Brad Silvers had 380 yards and four TD’s and didn’t even play the fourth quarter in last week’s 62-9 annihilation of Texas State. In all the Trojans would post 600 yards, including 154 on the ground.

Last week the Red Wolves put up 781 yards of total offense in a blowout win over Louisiana Monroe.

These teams are very evenly matched. But Troy has the advantage defensively, and note that it also plays with revenge after falling to Arkansas State 35-3 last year.

Additionally I’ll point out that the Trojans are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 on the road and already 2-1 ATS this year as a road favorite, while Arkansas State is just 2-4 ATS in its last six as an underdog.

I’ll recommend a second look at Troy in this one.

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